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© The Treasury Better saved than sorry: Treasury’s position on NZ’s savings performance.

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Presentation on theme: "© The Treasury Better saved than sorry: Treasury’s position on NZ’s savings performance."— Presentation transcript:

1 © The Treasury Better saved than sorry: Treasury’s position on NZ’s savings performance

2 © The Treasury The saving picture in NZ (macro) Chart: Saving by sector

3 © The Treasury International comparisons suggest NZ has low household saving Table: Selected country household saving rates (period averages as a % of household disposable income)

4 © The Treasury Stock measures suggest that wealth has increased even after allowing for house price increases

5 © The Treasury Stock-based estimates of HH saving rates are higher & show less evidence of a  trend in recent years Source: The Treasury -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 1980-841985-891990-941995-992000-05 % of personal disposable income Flow: from HIOAStock excl. house price changes

6 © The Treasury NZers rely a lot on housing for their wealth Chart: Non-financial assets (mainly housing) as a % of total household assets 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 US (2005) Japan (2004 ) Canada (2005 ) UK (2004 ) Germany ( 2004 ) Australia (2005) France (2005) NZ (2005) Source: OECD, Reserve Bank of New Zealand

7 © The Treasury Annual percentage change of house prices Source: QVNZ (obtained through Reserve Bank of New Zealand)

8 © The Treasury Net external liabilities – % of GDP Source: Lane and Milesi-Ferretti (2006)

9 © The Treasury The saving picture in NZ (micro) Table: Holdings of super schemes - by types of schemes Percent of population who hold a scheme (%) Mean value of scheme ($) Median value of scheme ($) Workplace superannuation scheme 8.272,80026,200 Personal superannuation scheme 12.040,50015,600 Any superannuation scheme 19.356,20020,000 Source: Treasury’s calculations based on 2001 Household Savings Survey data for individuals aged 18-64 Table: Holdings of any super scheme - by income quintile Quintiles of income Any superannuation scheme Percent of population who hold a scheme (%) Mean value of scheme ($) Median value of scheme ($) 1167,40024,400 2243,30014,500 3440,20015,200 4651,50022,800 5771,70025,000 Total1956,20020,000 Source: Treasury’s calculations based on 2001 Household Savings Survey data for individuals aged 18-64

10 © The Treasury The saving picture in NZ: ages 45–64 Table: Proportions of the population who may be saving inadequately for retirement Baseline (%) Adjusted (%) Low-middle Incomes, adjusted (%) Non-partnered individuals Ages 45-54 Ages 55-64 34 28 19 9 14 10 Couples Ages 45-54 Ages 55-64 37 30 14 34 23 Notes: The adjusted scenario assumes a decline in retirement consumption with age and introduces a cap on retirement consumption, which results in lower prescribed saving rates. “Low to middle incomes” is the group of people earning between $15,000 and $50,000 per annum. Source: Le, et al. (2007) and The Treasury

11 © The Treasury Better saved than sorry: Treasury’s position on NZ’s savings performance


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