1. Global Adoption, Impact and Future Prospects of Commercialized
I S A A A
Global Adoption, Impact and Future Prospects of Commercialized
GM/Biotech Crops,
Istanbul Forum, Turkey, April, 2008 by
Clive James, Chair, ISAAA Board of Directors
International Service for the Acquisition
of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA)

2. A Food, Feed, & Fiber Strategy to Double Global Production by 2050
NO SINGLE APPROACH will allow food, feed, and fiber production to be doubled SUSTAINABLY by 2050 for 9 billion people
Conventional crop improvement ALONE will not double crop production by 2050 – GM/BIOTECH CROPS NOT A PANACEA but important
Successful strategy must have MULTIPLE APPROACHES that address all the principal issues that include:
Population Stabilization
Improved food distribution systems
A Technology Component is ESSENTIAL-- A crop improvement STRATEGY THAT INTEGRATES the BEST of CONVENTIONAL AND the BEST of BIOTECH to optimize productivity to CONTRIBUTE to food feed, fiber & biofuel security

3. International Cereal Prices 2006-2008
US$/tonne
Rice
Wheat
Maize
2006
2007
2008
Source: FAO, Feb. 2008

4. Global Area (Million Hectares) of Biotech Crops, 2007:
by Country

5. Accumulated Global Area of Biotech Crops,
1996 to 2007 (Million Hectares)
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
666 million hectares
= 1.6 billion acres
M Acres
1729
1235
988
494
741
247
1482
1976
Source: Clive James, 2007

6. 2007 Highlights -- Area continues to soar
114.3 million hectares planted globally
12.3 million ha increase - 12% - 2nd highest in 5 years
114.3 m. has in 23 countries, Chile and Poland new countries in 2007
Fastest adoption rate of any crop technology
12 mill. Farmers planted biotech crops in 2007 , - 90% or 11mill. are resource-poor farmers – 1st time to exceed 10 million small farmers in dev. countries
Of 6.5 billion global population 55%, equivalent to 3.6 billion, lived in the 23 biotech countries in 2007
Source: Clive James 2008

7. Impact of Biotech Crops
Source; Compiled by Clive James , 2008
IMPROVED PRODUCTIVITY AND INCOME – Increased yields of 5 to 50%. Farm income gains of $7 billion in 2006 & $34 billion ; $17.5 billion in industrial, $16.5 billion in dev countries
PROTECT BIODIVERSITY - Double crop production on same area of land - save the forests/biodiversity - 13m ha loss/year in DCs
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT - Reduce need for external inputs - Saving of 289,000 MT a.i. pesticides from 1996 to 2006
- Saved 15 bill kg C02 in m less cars - climate change
- Conservation of soil & WATER = SUSTAINABILITY
SOCIAL BENEFITS
- Contribution to alleviation of poverty of 11 million small farmers in 2007, compared with 9.3 million in 2006
Improved environment & socio-economic benefits
More affordable food, feed, fiber and fuel

8. Biotech Crops – Global Economic Benefits:
1996 to 2006, and – Lead countries
2006
ALL COUNTRIES
USA
Argentina
China
Brazil
India
Canada
Others
Source: Brookes and Barfoot 2008
$ 33.7 billion
$ 15.9 billion
$ 6.6 billion
$ 5.8 billion
$ 1.9 billion
$ 1.3 billion
$ 1.2 billion
$ 1.0 billion
$ 7.0 billion
$ 2.9 billion
$1.3 billion
$0.8 billion
0.6 billion
$0.3 billion

9. Projections for the 2nd Decade, 2006 - 2015
2007
2015
# of Biotech Countries
# of Farmers Planting
Biotech Crops
Global Biotech Area 23
12 million
114 million hectares
~ 40
up to 100 million
~ 200 million
hectares
Source: Clive James, 2007

10. GLOBAL AREA OF BIOTECH CROPS
Increase of 12%, 12.3 million hectares (30 million acres), between 2006 and 2007.
Source: Clive James, 2007.
GLOBAL AREA OF BIOTECH CROPS
Million Hectares (1996 to 2007)
23 Biotech Crop Countries 20 40 60 80
100
120
140
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Total
Industrial
Developing