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Steel Manufacturers Association Annual Board of Directors Meeting Presented by The David J. Joseph Company February 14 - 16, 2007
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2 The David J. Joseph Company Corporate Locations
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3 Brokerage Offices and Mill Services Locations Washington Oregon California Idaho Montana Nevada Wyoming Utah Arizona New Mexico Colorado North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Kansas Oklahoma Texas Louisiana Arkansas Missouri Iowa Minnesota Wisconsin Illinois Indiana Michigan Ohio Kentucky Tennessee Mississippi Alabama Florida Georgia South Carolina North Carolina Virginia West Virginia Pennsylvania MD New York Maine VT NH MA CT DE NJ Ferrous Brokerage Offices Mill Services Sites 1/2007
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4 The David J. Joseph Company Processing Regions 1/2007
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5 Busheling vs. Shredded Composites sww2a
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6 Steel Economy ► Historically, U.S. GDP below 2.89% has resulted in a contraction in steel usage ► In the 4th quarter of 2006, producers reduced production to react to build up of inventories ► U.S. demand for raw materials to produce steel declined ► Impact on domestic commodity prices ► Export market helped determine domestic prices and acted as pricing floor
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7 Tight supplies rising steel prices double orders inventory build. Inventories at Service Centers rose 23% from April 2004 to April 2005, then declined by 18% by year end. Inventories rose 22% from Jan-Oct 2006 before declining slightly in November. SmewsStats/SVC INV
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8 Significant growth in demand was met by developing new supplies and by re-orienting to domestic markets scrap previously exported. Millions NT Est. 1991200120022003200420052006 46646563696670Domestic Demand 108 12131514Export 567275 828184Total Demand 5462646567 Domestic Scrap Production <11 Domestic Pig & DRI 291110151317Import Scrap, Pig & DRI 0000000Balance Market Clears
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9 FRD Major Currencies Dollar Index vs. Scrap frb1
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10 Shredder Capacity + Planned Additions Shredder operations and capacity has increased nearly 25% since the early 2000’s. Announced new shredders and planned increases to existing operations will add approximately 240,000 tpm of shredding capacity in the next couple of years. Normal # Shredders Production 2002 – 042051.7 M/tons per month 20062082.1 M/tons per month Planned: New 14180,000 Incremental 3 60,000
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11 Advanced Technologies Eddy Current Sandflo Gamma Metrics
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12 Residue Pricing Chart
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13 Transportation ► Throughout scrap industry, significant investments continue to be made in transportation assets ► Increasingly becoming a part of “total investment capital” versus an outsourced service ► Transportation shortages have been a primary driver of market volatility
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14 Selected Current Scrap Consolidations
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15 Scrap Futures ► Primary reasons it hasn’t (won’t ?) occur: ► Traded products must be universally acceptable ►Ferrous scrap qualities / traits vary from region to region ► Liquidity requirement ►Speculators need a liquid financial market ►Credit-worthiness of market participants ►Private nature of scrap industry limits the availability of financial information ► Regionalization ►Ferrous scrap more freight sensitive than many other commodities (i.e., low value to weight ratio) ►Physical attributes / qualities of scrap vary from region to region ► Price Discovery Mechanism ►There must be a Buyer / Seller of last resort (inventory must be held)
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