1. Global Warming (and Florida) UF, School of Building Construction August 28, 2003 Mark van Soestbergen ICBE

8. Carbon Dioxide Intercepts infrared waves going into space

9. Gasoline is 85.5% carbon 1 gallon of conventional gasoline becomes 172 cubic feet / 4.87 cubic meters of CO 2

10. 125 gallon makes one ton CO 2 1 ton of CO 2 easily fills up a 19,866 cubic feet / 556 cubic meters container

11. 10 ton CO 2 fills Florida Field 3 foot high Every year, the United States produces 20 tons of CO 2 per person

12. Humans add about 3 billion tC to the atmosphere each year

13. Copyright 2002 IPS-Inter Press Service Asian Brown Haze

14. Notice the air over the Tibetan Plateau is very clear. Most of this air pollution comes from human activities. These particles impact local health, the region's hydrological cycle and average climate. Jacques Descloitres, MODIS Land Rapid Response Team, NASA/GSFC 12-04-2001

15. Image courtesy SeaWiFS Project, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, and ORBIMAGE SeaWiFS Project, 01-11-2002

16. Image courtesy SeaWiFS Project, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, and ORBIMAGE SeaWiFS Project, 03-28-2002

19. Global Climate Change changes everything More CO2 changes plant behavior More CO2 increases temperature of the atmosphere, the the earth’s crust and the oceans Global hydro cycle; rain and moisture

20. The Coldest Areas Warm the Most

23. Summers will be scorchers These maps show the projected increase in average daily July heat index relative to the present. The largest increases are in the southeastern states, where the Canadian model projects increases of more than 25°F. For example, a July day in Atlanta that now reaches a heat index of 105°F would reach a heat index of 115°F in the Hadley model, and 130°F in the Canadian model.

24. Florida - Average temperature increase of 5 ~10°F - Reversal of summer-wet, winter-dry - Vectors - Sea level rise - Storms

25. Impacts on: - Agriculture - Tourism - Health - Insurance - Tax Base - Economy

26. Currently identified vulnerability zones

27. Expected sea level increase 21 st Century: + 1.2 meter Florida + 5 meter, unavoidable w/out action Courtesy: PBS

28. Much reduction is needed to reach stability 8 4.7 Human emission rate in billion tC/yr t Equilibrium Latent atmospheric C is about 188 billion ton Emissions the earth absorbs in billion tC/yr

29. Climate Change: A hundred year problem Achieving carbon-neutrality (the switch to clean energy) = 30 years? Absorption of latent carbon (sequestration) = 7% of planet surface & 150 years?

31. Annual school budget vs electrical: - UM 470m / 6m = 1.3% - UF 1,857m / 26m = 1.4% - UCF 578m / 9m = 1.6%

32. UF is planning 16% growth over the next 10 years.. What are the dollar savings if all new buildings are Green? $1,743,000 per year And CO2 savings over the building lifetime? 2,100,000 tCO2

37. U.S. commitment under Kyoto

38. Links and Resources http://www.icbe.com/uf_audit/ http://www.ucar.edu/learn/1_1_1.htm http://www.ucsusa.org/environment/gulf.html http://www.epa.gov/globalwarming/visitorcenter/lists.html http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/warming/ http://www.icbe.com/carbondatabase/reductions.asp http://www.climatesafe.com/intro/intro_flash.asp http://visibleearth.nasa.gov/advsearch.html

39. - Nice meeting all of you! Mark van Soestbergen mark@icbe.com mark@icbe.com 352 367 1144 tel 352 335 9140 fax Toward Climate Stability ™