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1 Inferences about a Mean Vector Shyh-Kang Jeng Department of Electrical Engineering/ Graduate Institute of Communication/ Graduate Institute of Networking.

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Presentation on theme: "1 Inferences about a Mean Vector Shyh-Kang Jeng Department of Electrical Engineering/ Graduate Institute of Communication/ Graduate Institute of Networking."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 Inferences about a Mean Vector Shyh-Kang Jeng Department of Electrical Engineering/ Graduate Institute of Communication/ Graduate Institute of Networking and Multimedia

2 2 Inference Reaching valid conclusions concerning a population on the basis of information from a sample

3 3 Plausibility of  0 as a Value for a Normal Population Mean

4 4 Student’s t-distribution

5 5

6 6 Test of Hypothesis

7 7 Confidence Interval

8 8 Plausibility of  0 as a Multivariate Normal Population Mean

9 9 T 2 as an F-Distribution

10 10 F-Distribution

11 11 F-Distribution

12 12 Nature of T 2 -Distribution

13 13 Test of Hypothesis

14 14 Example 5.1 Evaluating T 2

15 15 Example 5.2 Testing a Mean Vector

16 16 Invariance of T 2 -Statistic

17 17 T 2 -Statistic from Likelihood Ratio Test

18 18 T 2 -Statistic from Likelihood Ratio Test

19 19 Result 4.10

20 20 Likelihood Ratio Test

21 21 Result 5.1

22 22 Proof of Result 5.1

23 23 Proof of Result 5.1

24 24 Computing T 2 from Determinants

25 25 General Likelihood Ratio Method

26 26 Result 5.2

27 27 100(1-  )% Confidence Region

28 28 100(1-  )% Confidence Region

29 29 Axes of the Confidence Ellipsoid

30 30 Example 5.3 : Microwave Oven Radiation

31 31 Example 5.3 : 95% Confidence Region

32 32 Example 5.3 : 95% Confidence Ellipse for 

33 33 Example 5.3 : 95% Confidence Ellipse for 

34 34 Simultaneous Confidence Statements Sometimes we need confidence statements about the individual component means All if the separate confidence statements should hold simultaneously with a specified high probability

35 35 Concept of Simultaneously Confidence Statements

36 36 Confidence Interval of Linear Combination of Variables

37 37 Maximum t 2 Value for All a

38 38 Maximization Lemma

39 39 Result 5.3: T 2 Interval

40 40 Comparison of t - and T 2 -Intervals

41 41 Simultaneous T 2 -Intervals

42 42 Example 5.4: Shadows of the Confidence Ellipsoid

43 43 Example 5.5

44 44 Example 5.5

45 45 Example 5.5: Confidence Ellipses for Pairs of Means

46 46 One-at-a-Time Intervals

47 47 Bonferroni Inequality

48 48 Bonferroni Method of Multiple Comparisons

49 49 Example 5.6

50 50 Example 5.6

51 51 (Length of Bonferroni Interval )/ (Length of T 2 -Interval)

52 52 Limit Distribution of Statistical Distance

53 53 Result 5.4

54 54 Result 5.5

55 55 Result 5.5

56 56 Example 5.7: Musical Aptitude Profile for 96 Finish Students

57 57 Example 5.7: Simultaneous 90% Confidence Limits

58 58 One-at-a-Time and Bonferroni Confidence Intervals

59 59 Large-Sample 95% Intervals for Example 5.7

60 60 95% Intervals for Example 5.7

61 61 Control Chart Represents collected data to evaluate the capabilities and stability of the process Identify occurrences of special causes of variation that come from outside of the usual process

62 62 Example 5.8: Overtime Hours for a Police Department

63 63 Example 5.8 Univariate Control Chart

64 64 Monitoring a Sample for Stability

65 65 Example 5.9: 99% Ellipse Format Chart

66 66 Example 5.9: -Chart for X 2

67 67 Example 5.10: T 2 Chart for X 1 and X 2

68 68 Example 5.11: Robotic Welders

69 69 Example 5.11: T 2 Chart

70 70 Example 5.11: 99% Quality Control Ellipse for ln(Gas flow) and voltage

71 71 Example 5.11: -Chart for ln(Gas flow)

72 72 Control Regions for Future Individual Observations Set for future observations from collected data when process is stable Forecast or prediction region –in which a future observation is expected to lie

73 73 Result 5.6

74 74 Proof of Result 5.6

75 75 Result 4.8

76 76 Example 5.12 Control Ellipse

77 77 T 2 -Chart for Future Observations

78 78 Control Chart Based on Subsample Means

79 79 Control Chart Based on Subsample Means

80 80 Control Regions for Future Subsample Observations

81 81 Control Chart Based on Subsample Means

82 82 EM Algorithm Prediction step –Given some estimate of the unknown parameters, predict the contribution of the missing observations to the sufficient statistics Estimation step –Use the predicted statistics to compute a revised estimate of the parameters Cycle from one step to the other

83 83 Complete-Data Sufficient Statistics

84 84 Prediction Step for Multivariate Normal Distribution

85 85 Result 4.6

86 86 Estimation Step for Multivariate Normal Distribution

87 87 Example 5.13: EM Algorithm

88 88 Example 5.13: Prediction Step

89 89 Example 5.13: Prediction Step

90 90 Example 5.13: Prediction Step

91 91 Example 5.13: Estimation Step

92 92 Time Dependence in Observations

93 93 Coverage Probability of the 95% Confidence Ellipsoid


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