1. FIRST STAGE IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION PROCESS – CAUCUSES AND PRIMARIES
Types of primaries:
Closed
Semi-closed
Open
Blanket (invalidated by Supreme Court)
Nonpartisan blanket primaries (state and local level)
“INVISIBLE PRIMARY”

2. PROS and CONS of PRIMARY CENTERED PROCESS
Gives power to the people
But so few people votes in primaries and are not representative of the general population or even their own parties
Other criticisms of the nomination process: starts early, lasts too long
Some argue for ONE SINGLE NATIONAL PRIMARY

3. Funding of elections Federal Election Campaign Act (1974):
1. Placed limits on contributions to pres & Cong’l campaigns – to candidates, PACs, parties
2. Required disclosure of contributions
*Individual limit of $1000 – up to $2600 – per election
*Interest group contributions to PACs limited to $5000
3. Limited “independent expenditures” – spending not coordinated with, or given directly to, a candidate (overturned by Supreme Court)
4. Loophole on contribution limits – “Soft Money” (later overturned by Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act 2002)

4. Created Federal Election Commission – 6 member bipartisan commission to administer and enforce CF laws
PRIMARIES – matching funds (for individual contributions – to encourage small donations) - voluntary
GENERAL ELECTION - Full public financing in general election if agree not to raise private contributions and agree to a spending limit (voluntary – many presidential candidates say NO THANKS)

5. Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act 2002
Bans soft money
Said issue ads (done through independent expenditures) can’t be broadcast right before an election (this part would be overturned by Supreme Court ruling Citizens United)

6. Supreme Court rulings on Campaign Finance
1. Buckley v. Valeo 1976 –
*Ruled against mandatory spending limits
*Upheld voluntary limits for Pres. Campaigns
*Upheld contribution limits
* Ruled against limits on independent expenditures
WHY ARE SPENDING LIMITS UNCONSTITUTIONAL BUT CONTRIBUTION LIMITS NOT???

7. Citizens United Ruling 2010
First Amendment prohibits gov’t from restricting independent expenditures by corporations (including non profit ones) and unions AT ANY TIME, including just prior to an election.
Can require disclosure but can’t limit free speech. First amendment issue…

8. Main “loopholes” today to get around contribution limits in campaigns
* Independent expenditure groups (Supreme Court has generally supported these because aren’t made directly to a candidate so not “corrupting” in same way as a direct contribution)
- 527 groups: independent groups not subject to contribution restrictions, so long as don’t explicitly endorse – Swift Boat Vets,
Moveon.org –donations reported to FEC but amount = unlimited
- 501s: independent groups that can also get unlimited donations, don’t even have to report donations to FEC so long as spend < 50 percent of their funds on political activities
- Super PACS: can accept unlimited donations, can endorse ,so long as “just express their views” and don’t give their money to a candidate – in super PACs arose to support all pres. candidates

9. Electoral College
Each state’s votes in the electoral college equal the number of its Reps in the U.S. House plus Senators in the U.S. Senate
Versus National Vote

10. How people vote in presidential elections – most based on party ID
Prospective voting – look ahead based on each candidate’s promises
Retrospective voting – vote based on past performance of incumbent administration
Policy voting versus focusing on personal characteristics (honesty, competence, “regular guy”)
Gender gap: women vote more D than men

11. 2012 election – why did Obama win (Hayward)?
Microtargeting – zero in on likely voters for your side, and hit them with particular messages designed to get them out to vote
Expansion of coalition to bring in low turnout voters, especially young and Hispanic voters, especially in battleground states

12. **The Presidency – once elected – constitutional powers**
Appointment,
make treaties,
veto,
commander-in-chief of army and navy,
pardon,
state of the union,
take care clause

13. Main constitutional check on the president – impeachment
Other powers of the president – not in Constitution –
Executive orders
Support Staff –
Executive Office of the President which includes the Office of Management and Budget, chief of staff, press secretary

14. When do presidents succeed?
Electoral context – margin of victory/mandate
What Congress looks like – is there divided government, but further, what is the size of President’s party in both House and Senate
Honeymoon period – six months after election
Need to bargain and persuade (Neustadt)
Importance of going public (Kernell)
Presidential style/personality/character
Success on domestic versus foreign policy