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AGEC 420, Lec 311 Agec 420 Markets TradeSim Technical Analysis
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AGEC 420, Lec 312 Corn Market Bot 1 MidAm Dec Corn @ 2.29¼, March 6 Close $ +/- Tu., Apr. 92.22 ¾ -$65.00 CBOT: http://www.cbot.com/http://www.cbot.com/
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AGEC 420, Lec 313 Cattle Market April 3; buy 1 MidAm April LC @ 71.55 NOT FILLED Close Change Apr. 371.625 Apr. 470.125-1.50 Apr. 568.675-1.45 Apr. 867.675-1.00 Apr. 968.925+1.25 Apr. 10 (11:30am)67.425-1.50 Cattle: http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/LC/42http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/LC/42
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AGEC 420, Lec 314 Technical Analysis 2 main types 1. Charting –Bar charts are the most common –Others – Japanese candlestick –Elliot wave theory 2. Indices –Moving averages –Relative strength index
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AGEC 420, Lec 315 The Bar Chart Axes show price and time Vertical bars –price range (day or week) top of the bar --> highest price bottom --> lowest price tick on RHS: closing price
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AGEC 420, Lec 316 Charts Two basic “categories” of chart patterns 1. Trends and trend reversals Rationale: bandwagon effects, gradual release of information
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AGEC 420, Lec 317 Charts “Categories” of chart patterns (cont.) 2. Resistance and support planes and associated topping and bottoming patterns Rationale: “investors memory” sell when it gets back to the price they bought at buy when it gets down to where they wish they had bought
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AGEC 420, Lec 318 Charts Trends and reversals
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AGEC 420, Lec 319 Downtrend and reversal Downtrend: Downward sloping line drawn above prices, connecting the highs. Close above a downtrend --> buy signal
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Close above a downtrend
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Close above downtrend
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Close above a downtrend
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AGEC 420, Lec 3113 Uptrend and reversal Uptrend: Upward sloping line drawn underneath prices, connecting the lows. Close below an uptrend --> sell signal
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Close below an uptrend
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AGEC 420, Lec 3117 Charts Resistance and support planes Topping and bottoming patterns
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AGEC 420, Lec 3118 Tops and Bottoms Double top (bottom) Head and Shoulders (top or bottom) Illustrate on blackboard
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