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Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions.

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Presentation on theme: "Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions."— Presentation transcript:

1 Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

2 Overview Main types of regional climate variability Regional predictability Indicators for the winter 2013-2014

3 Sources of climate variability and predictability in winter 1 st and 2 nd EOFs of winter temperature From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

4 Sources of climate variability and predictability in winter 1 st EOF of winter precipitation From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

5 Coupled modes of variability temperature and precipitation anomalies coupled with SLP anomalies 1 st CCA modes for temperature and precipitation From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

6 ROC maps for above normal tercile of temperatute From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

7 ROC maps for above normal below of temperatute From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

8 ROC maps for above normal tercile of precipitation From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

9 ROC maps for below normal tercile of precipitation From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

10 ROC maps for above normal tercile of precipitation From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

11 What about next winter? No clear NAO signal…


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