1. AGE OF UNCERTAINTY: THE 1990s

2. AFTER THE COLD WAR, WHAT? Reading: Smith, Talons, ch. 9 Fukuyama, “End of History” Huntington, “Clash of Civilizations” Tulchin and Espach, Latin America, chs. 3, 5, 8

3. ABOUT THE MIDTERM Tuesday, February 10, 6:00-7:30 p.m. Format: discussion items plus essay(s) Material through January 27 (Historical Trends) Study guide available on website (and presented in class) next Tuesday, February 3

4. INTRODUCTION Global systems and inter-American relations Hopes for the Americas Anticipating 9/11

5. CHANGES IN THE GLOBAL ARENA Collapse of the Soviet Union Economic multipolarity: Europe, Japan, others? U.S. military primacy: the “unipolar moment” Transnationalization and non-state actors A “third wave” of democratization?

6. DIMENSIONS OF UNCERTAINTY Distributions of power: the “layer cake” model Absence of rules of the game Hesitancy in the United States

7. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS: TWO INTERPRETATIONS Fukuyama, “End of History” Huntington, “Clash of Civilizations”

8. ALTERATIONS IN THE HEMISPHERE Asymmetry I: economic resources Asymmetry II: patterns of interdependence Withdrawal of extra-hemispheric powers Implications for U.S.-Latin American relations What about Cuba?

9. IMPACTS OF 9/11: PRELIMINARY REFLECTIONS U.S. power—and vulnerability? On “stateless” enemies Implications for global scenarios Impacts on Latin America and inter-American relations

10. Supplementary Readings On U.S. imperialism: # 2: Adams on Cuba # 7: Polk on “manifest destiny” #13: Ostend Manifesto #22: Olney Memorandum

11. On Latin American reactions: #10. Sarmiento on the United States #21: Martí on the United States #28: Rodó’s “Ariel” #29: Darío to Roosevelt #47: Ingenieros on imperialism

12. U.S. and the Cold War: # 68: U.S. Congress and Doolittle Committee # 71: Ninth International Conference of American States #106: Committee of Santa Fe #108: Reagan on communism #109: CIA on sabotage #111: DOD on “prolonged war”

13. Latin America and the Cold War: # 82: C. Wright Mills # 86: Juan José Arévalo # 90: Che Guevara # 96: Songs of protest #101: Ariel Dorfman and Armando Mattelart #115: Eduardo Galeano

14. Latin America after the Cold War: Heraldo Muñoz, “Good-bye U.S.A.?” Alberto van Klaveren, “Political Globalization and Latin America: Toward a New Sovereignty?” Robert O. Keohane, “Between Vision and Reality: Variables in Latin American Foreign Policy”