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Validation of a laboratory risk score for the identification of severe bacterial infection in children with fever without source Galetto-Lacour A, Zamora S, Andreola B, Bressan S, Lacroix L, Da Dalt L and Gervaix A Arch Dis Child 2010; 95: Dr Vanessa Craven
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Procalcitonin
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Brunkhorst FM et al. Intens. Care Med 1998; 24: 888-892
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Pediatr Infect Dis J 2008; 27: 654-6
202 months Rectal temp >38°C & no focus IOS Urine MC&S WCC, CRP & PCT LP ‘when meningitis suspected’ Clinical follow up within 48 hours
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Results SBI 54 (27%) PCT: OR 37.6 (5.8 - 243) CRP: OR 7.8 (2 - 30.4)
Urine dipstick: OR 23.2 ( )
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Predictor Points PCT (ng/ml) < 0.5 ≥ 0.5 ≥ 2.0 2 4 CRP (mg/ml) < 40 40-99 ≥ 100 Urine dipstick Negative Positive 1
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AIM External validation More children 2007 Italian population
Laboratory score ≥ 3
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Methodology Prospective enrolment - 408 children
Data from Italian study May October 2005 7 days (>38C) to 36 months (>39.5°C)
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7 days to 36 months Fever without source Exclusion criteria Looking for severe bacterial infection (defined) – diagnosis ‘at end of follow up’ SBI vs ‘benign viral infection’ Retrospective (5 years) Using another study’s cohort
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Reasonable age definition & exclusion criteria
Using another study’s data set Higher temperature cut off than used in practice?
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Laboratory measurements
Who confirmed FWS? ALL were assessed at 72 hours (including telephone contact) – no details Cultures would be back but not always reliable What happened to the classification of children that did not improve? Or had focal infection and did not get Abx DMSA to diagnose pyleonephritis (1/52)
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Who did the assessments?
Who followed up?
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ALL were followed up No details about - follow up length - location Was 72 hr review conclusive in all Any need Abx/admission What happened to the ‘focal bacterial infection’ 15.8%?
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SBI in 92 (22.7%) Score ≥3: Sens 86% (77-92%) Spec: 83% (79-87%) Sens ↑and spec ↓ with age WBC: Sens 52%, Spec 75% CRP: Sens 52%, Spec 75% PCT: Sens 75%, Spec 76% Missed 13 cases Very large confidence intervals! Large confidence intervals Selected population
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BUT referral pathway different
WCC poor predictor Pediatr Infect Dis J 2008; 27: 654-6 Results comparable to derivation set
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Summary & Conclusion There is insufficient evidence to support the sole use of the lab score to identify those with severe bacterial infection
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