1. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 CISM Vision: To understand our changing Sun and its effects on the solar system, life, and society.

2. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 CISM Goals Introduce Sun-to-Earth Community Models into space physics Introduce physics-based numerical simulation models into space weather operational prediction and forecasting Imbue the notion that sun-earth science is a single unified discipline

3. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 CISM Plan Develop a series of ever-improving versions of a comprehensive physics-based numerical simulation model that describes the space environment from the Sun to the Earth. USES: Scientific tool for increased understanding of the complex space environment. Specification and forecast tool for space weather prediction. Education tool for teaching about the space environment. MANDATE: in the National Space Weather Program.

4. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 InnerMagnetosphere Solar Corona Solar Corona Linker and Mikic Solar Wind Solar Wind Odstrcil and Pizzo Ionosphere T*GCM Active Regions Solar Energetic Particles Ring Current Radiation Belts Geocorona and Exosphere Plasmasphere MI Coupling Magnetosphere Lyon, Fedder, and Mobarry

5. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 University of California Stanford University SAIC University of Colorado NCAR/HAO University of Texas, El Paso Rice University Alabama A&M University NCSA Boston University Dartmouth College CISM Institutions CCMC NRL NOAA/SEC Lockheed-Martin

6. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 CISM Organization Science Thrusts: Research directed towards constructing or improving the component models. Code Coupling Thrust: Defines and/or develops computational science coupling tools; Couples component models into comprehensive model. Validation and Metrics Thrust: Tests and validates the comprehensive models. Empirical Model Thrust: Develops comprehensive empirical model. Data Assimilation Thrust: Develops plan in 1 st year. Knowledge Transfer: Provides the models to the research and forecasting communities. Education: Uses models in education programs.

7. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 CISM Director J. Hughes Deputy Director C. Goodrich ITM Killeen/Solomon NCAR Magnetosphere M. Hudson Dartmouth Solar & SW J. Luhmann Berkeley Chief Scientist G. Siscoe BU A. Richmond NCAR R. Roble NCAR A. Burns NCAR W. Wang NCAR G. Lu NCAR N. Maruyama NCAR A. Sussman, J. Drake Maryland J. Lyon Dartmouth/BU G. Fisher Berkeley I. Roth Berkeley T. Hoeksema Stanford P. Scherrer Stanford J. Linker SAIC R. Lionello SAIC Z. Mikic SAIC P. Riley SAIC D. Odstrcil CU N. Crooker BU J. Lyon Dartmouth/BU B. Lotko Dartmouth M.Wiltberger NCAR F. Toffoletto Rice A. Chan Rice NSF OIA GEO Advisory Council CISM Organizational Chart V. Pizzo NOAA/SEC B. Rogers Dartmouth J. Drake Maryland Code Coupling C. Goodrich BU Assistant Dir. K. Nottingham BU S. Gibson NCAR N. Arge CU M.Wiltberger, W. Wang NCAR J. Linker, R. Lionello, Z. Mikic SAIC D. Odstrcil CU F. Toffoletto Rice G. Fisher Berkeley R. Lopez UTEP J. Hughes BU R. Lopez UTEP N. Turner UTEP S. Solomon NCAR A. Burns NCAR R. Lal AAMU F. Toffoletto Rice N. Arge CU Validation H. Spence BU KT & EM D. Baker CU H. Singer NOAA/SEC T. Onsager NOAA/SEC R. Weigel CU X. Li CU N. Crooker BU G. Siscoe BU H. Spence BU D. Vassiliadis GSFC N. Arge CU Ed & Div R. Lopez UTEP G. De Francis Dartmouth E. Zirbel BU P. Garik BU J. Marinez UTEP N. Turner UTEP R. Lal AAMU R. Johnson NCAR P. Reiff Rice D. Scherrer Stanford

8. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 Year 1 Milestones (September 2003): Couple empirical models & provide to SEC; Define metrics & skill scores; Link LFM/TING, Rad/LFM, Corona/Heliosphere; Magnetograms  Corona Test ENLIL  LFM; Begin OOP I; Ethics & RotR; Data Assimilation plan Year 2 Milestones (September 2004): Validate LFM/TING & Corona/Helio; Link RCM/LFM; M-I Electrodynamics; 3D rad belt; Coronal thermodynamics; CME module in coronal; Test OOP I; Begin OOP II; Code control & data management; Industrial seminars; SW Curriculum Year 3 Milestones (September 2005): LFM/TING & Corona/Heliosphere  community; LFM/RCM/TING  CGM; Validation of CGM; Transition to OOP I; Lower atmosphere in TING; 3D Rad  LFM; Eruption models  Corona; SEP code; 2-fluid ENLIL; Empirical models v. 2; MS program at AAMU; Fellowships for Grads & Postdocs Year 4 Milestones (September 2006): CGM  Community; Begin skill scores; Plasmasphere; Reconnection  LFM Losses  Rad belts; SEP  Corona/ENLIL; OOP II; Validate Empirical Gen-2; Year 5 Milestones (September 2007): Validate OOP I; Transition to OOP II; Techniques for CME  Corona/ENLIL; Reconnection  CGM & Corona; Strategy for transients in Corona/ENLIL; Empirical Gen-2  SEC; 1st AAMU grad; Gen-2 Planetarium; Gen-3 SW Curriculum Short Summary of 5-year Milestones

9. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 CISM 5-Year Plan Code Coupling Validation and Metrics testing Community Science Model Education Ad Hoc Coupling Gen I: OOP I Ad Hoc Coupling Gen I: OOP I Ad Hoc Coupling Summer School, Curriculum Development Gen II: OOP II Component model development Science Thrusts Forecast Model Gen I Empirical model Gen II Empirical model Gen I

10. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 Empirical Model Thrust A physics-based model will take years to develop to the point where it can provide useful predictions. Much simpler, empirical models already exist for many components of the Sun-Earth system, especially those of interest to space weather users. CISM will build a comprehensive empirical model. Use this model to set standards (metric skill scores) for all future comprehensive models. This thrust will provide the forecasting community with useful tools earlier in the life of CISM.

11. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 Why do we need a Center? To coordinate and integrate the scientific efforts of a diverse set of existing research groups to form a team of focused collaborators who will create a single product with multiple applications. To insure the logical, ordered development of a global coupled model, rather than ad-hoc model coupling. To coordinate and integrate education, especially the training of a diverse next generation of space physicists on a national level. To coordinate and integrate the transfer of useful products to the agencies responsible for space weather forecasting, industry, and end users.

12. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 Education and Developing Human Resources Graduate Summer School Graduate Student Professional Development MS Program in Space Science at AA&M Undergraduate Research Undergraduate Curriculum Development Teacher Interns and Workshops Research in Physics Education Outreach/Informal Education

13. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 CISM Knowledge Transfer Knowledge Transfer within Space Physics Research Community – Providing community access to models. NOAA/SEC and Air Force Weather Agency – Providing Forecasting Tools Industrial Partners: Lockheed Martin, Ball Aerospace, Boeing, Metatech and NOAA/SEC’s user community – Information exchange and training. Educational knowledge transfer – Disseminate educational information and materials to non-CISM institutions

14. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 CISM Legacies The development of a new interdisciplinary science that views the Sun-Earth system as a single closely coupled system, and that erases the existing boundaries among space physicists. A new generation of well-trained space physicists from diverse backgrounds that is capable of using the tools of computational science to study the space environment and who approach problems from an interdisciplinary viewpoint. Advances in space science, particularly in our understanding of processes critical to the development of the global model. Advances in computer science brought about by our need to efficiently couple disparate numerical models and assimilate observational data. A better public understanding of the Sun and its affect on the Earth’s space environment.

15. 2003 Site Visit 29/30 May, 2003 CISM Legacies (cont.) The introduction of comprehensive Sun-to-Earth community models into space physics The use of numerical models as research tools by the broader space physics research community. New models and understanding of the space environment that will lead to improved specification and forecasts at the nation’s space weather operations centers. A suite of physics-based forecasting and specification tools. A new graduate program in space science at an historically black university.