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Research Needs for Critical Loads and Levels A.R. Riebau, Ph.D. 17 Feb 2005 Riverside, Ca.
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Do we want a North American approach? Canada, Mexico, USA? A.R. Riebau, Ph.D. 17 Feb 2005 Riverside, Ca.
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Greetings from the NAFC Working Group on Atmospheric Change and Forests Our group is established under the UN FAO to coordinate efforts between Mexico, Canada, and the USA on forests, air quality, and climate change. NAFC = North American Forestry Commission
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NAFC Atmospheric Change and Forests Three governmental agencies primary leads: Canadian Forest Service (Dr. Harry Hirvonen, Roger Cox, others…) Mexican Forest Service or CONAFOR (Ing. Carlos Gonzoles-Vincete, Tomas Hernadez) USDA Forest Service (A.R. Riebau, Mark Fenn, Karl Zeller, Rich Fisher,others…) Website: http://www.fs.fed.us/global/nafc/
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Research needs: Development of a program that links ground level measurements, models, and remote sensing in to one cogent program.
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Ground-level data collection Linking existing data: Fairly easy: NADP/NTN CASTNET IMPROVE ARNEWS US EPA Federal reference
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Ground-level data collection Linking existing data: Fairly easy: US DOI NPS Air Monitoring USDA FS Air Resource Management LTER/experimental Forests and watersheds
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Ground-level data collection Linking existing data: Fairly hard: US FIA Mexico? LTER/ NEON??
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Ground-level data collection We need research to capitalize on our exisiting data for CL&L while designing an approach for new data collection (nested opportunistic network)
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What was Humble our plan from last year’s meeting? Develop a system of a system of demonstration sites. Develop a methods comparison paper, to explain parallels between ICP and recent North American critical loads approaches.
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Candidate CL & L demonstration sites (as of May 2004) : Presidential Range, NH Lye Brook, VT Hubbard Brook, NH Monongahela National Forest, WV Glacier Lakes Ecosystem Experiment Site WY Kings River Project, CA San Bernardino National Forest, CA Columbia River Gorge National Scenic Area, OR/WA
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Candidate CL &L demonstration sites Presidential Range, NH Lye Brook, VT Hubbard Brook, NH Monongahela National Forest, WV Glacier Lakes Ecosystem Experiment Site WY Kings River Project, CA San Bernardino National Forest, CA Columbia River Gorge National Scenic Area, OR/WA Just an aside— Is this still a good idea? How might we move this forward? How about Canada and Mexico?
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Research needs: Development of a program that links ground level measurements, models, and remote sensing in to one cogent program.
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Models and Modeling?
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Methods Comparison Paper Modeling methods are really the driving issue, as several modeling approaches have been in use. Policy implications (need to work with ICP on these).
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ICP Modeling and Mapping Need to gain more understanding of ICP approaches. Applications of techniques and emissions permitting process. Policy implications of analyses.
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Models and Modeling? But what about…
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Modeling and Mapping Can we capitalize on the NOAA/EPA Air Quality Forecasting Program (for the USA)? Weather at high resolution (8 or 6 KM) Ozone Particulates Deposition
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Modeling and Mapping Can we capitalize on our ecosystems modeling for global change (LANDIS, others)? Fire ecology models? Many more
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Modeling and Mapping The point is can we “imbed” this nested opportunistic network within a framework of on-going simulation initiatives to: Gain spatial coverage Gain temporal coverage Gain usefulness & creditability
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Research needs: Development of a program that links ground level measurements, models, and remote sensing in to one cogent program.
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Remote Sensing?
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Remote Sensing Can we capitalize on the new programs being developed by NASA and NOAA? Terra/Aqua MODIS (forest and ecosystem health) NPOES New “troposphere” atmospheric satellites Automated drones
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Remote Sensing The point is can we these on- going RS initiatives to: Validate suspected damage Separate highly sensitive areas from less Gain spatial coverage Gain temporal coverage Gain usefulness & creditability
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Conclusions We are in this for the “long haul.” Although many of the old problems aren’t solved, new approaches could change the relevancy and urgency of these problems Might this convergent system approach (e.g., on- ground to simulation to remote sensing) better align us with the larger science community This view-point might draw much interest from other sources and partners
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Farewell but not goodbye… we really need to a long-term relationship! Website: http://www.sgcp.ncsu.edu/criticalloads/
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