1. Workshop on Short-Term Statistics (STS) and Seasonal Adjustment Workshop Purpose and Scope Astana, 14 – 17 March 2011 Petteri Baer, Marketing Manager, Statistics Finland

2. 14 - 17 March 2011 Capacity Building Program on Challenges in STS The UNECE organizes with the financial support of the World Bank For the Central Asian and other CIS Countries The program consists of training workshops and study visits Builds on the international recommendations Training and exercises will be provided Discusses problems and possible solutions Exchange of experiences 2Petteri Baer

3. 14 - 17 March 2011 Workshop I – STS and Seasonal Adjustment 14-17 March, 2011 (Astana, Kazakhstan) Topics covered: Why are short-term statistics important? Use of multiple data sources Methodology of compilation of STS Dissemination Seasonal adjustment in practice Exercises on seasonal adjustment Participants in this Workshop to participate in the next workshop on seasonal adjustment 3Petteri Baer

4. 14 - 17 March 2011 Workshop II – Challenges in Consumer Price Indices 2011 (Istanbul, Turkey) Topics covered: Calculation of elementary and higher-level indices Coverage of goods and services Treatment of missing prices and their replacements Seasonal items Adjustment for quality changes Will be based on the international Consumer Price Indices Manual 4Petteri Baer

5. 14 - 17 March 2011 Workshop III – Implementation of the 2008 SNA 2011 (Kiev, Ukraine) Topics covered: Implementation issues of the 2008 SNA Discussion of the problematic areas and priority setting Support countries to establish implementation plans Development needs of both national accounts and the related primary statistics Building of networks of experts in SNA and NA 5Petteri Baer

6. 14 - 17 March 2011 Workshop IV – Training in Seasonal Adjustment 2012 (Istanbul, Turkey) Topics covered: Tackle the methodological and practical issues of seasonal adjustment Seasonal adjustment of problematic time series Analyses of the quality of seasonal adjustment Discuss countries’ experiences and problems 6Petteri Baer

7. 14 - 17 March 2011 Agenda for Monday, 14 March 2011 Session 1 Workshop Introduction Welcome Workshop Purpose and Scope Challenges and Problems in the area of STS Session 2 The Aim of STS – User view and Current Developments General recommendations on STS Why STS matters? User view on STS 7Petteri Baer

8. 14 - 17 March 2011 Agenda for Tuesday, 15 March 2011 Session 3 STS Production Methodology STS compilation with multiple data sources Case studies from countries Session 4 An Introduction to Seasonality and Seasonal Adjustment Components of time series, seasonality and preconditions for seasonal adjustment Seasonal adjustment as a process 1. Exercise: 1. Exercise: Getting started 8Petteri Baer

9. 14 - 17 March 2011 Agenda for Wednesday, 16 March 2011 Session 5 Seasonal Adjustment Practice Why seasonally adjust and how? Issues on seasonal adjustment in the EECCA countries Round table: Current state of seasonal adjustment Session 6 Pre-treatment of Time Series Pre-treatment practice for seasonal adjustment including calendar adjustment 2. Exercise: 2. Exercise: Examples of graphical analysis, outlier detection and the effect of calendar adjustment 9Petteri Baer

10. 14 - 17 March 2011 Agenda for Thursday, 17 March 2011 Session 7 Performing Seasonal Adjustment Model selection, seasonal adjustment and analyzing results 3. Exercise: 3. Exercise: Step-by-step seasonal adjustment Session 8 Going forward with seasonal adjustment Disseminating statistical information on economic development How to release seasonally adjusted data Towards the next workshop & closing 10Petteri Baer

11. 14 - 17 March 2011 Participants’ expectations Gain theoretical knowledge and practical skills To carry out seasonal adjustment To start providing users with seasonally adjusted data To get training and methodological materials Exchange experiences with other countries on seasonal adjustment Hear about international recommendations on STS and SA  Participant Presentation Round! 11Petteri Baer