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From Software to Infoware Tim O’Reilly O’Reilly Media, Inc. www.oreilly.com W3C Tenth Anniversary December 1, 2004.

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Presentation on theme: "From Software to Infoware Tim O’Reilly O’Reilly Media, Inc. www.oreilly.com W3C Tenth Anniversary December 1, 2004."— Presentation transcript:

1 From Software to Infoware Tim O’Reilly O’Reilly Media, Inc. www.oreilly.com W3C Tenth Anniversary December 1, 2004

2 "The future is here. It's just not evenly distributed yet." --William Gibson

3 (Control by API) Desktop Application Stack Proprietary Software Hardware Lock In System Assembled from Commodity Hardware Components

4 Free and Open Source Software Cheap Commodity PCs Intel Inside

5 Infoware: Data-Rich, Proprietary Software as Service Lock In by Network Effects Data Lock In Integration of Commodity Software Components Internet Application Stack

6 The New "Killer Apps"

7 What Makes Them Interesting To Me The Internet, not the PC, is their platform Built on top of open source, but not themselves open source Services, not packaged applications Exploring how to become platform players via web services APIs Data aggregators, not just software Network effects from user contributions key to market dominance The most successful are “semantic learning systems”, leveraging implicit metadata

8 Yahoo! Directory

9 Google Search

10 Listening to Napster (and Open Source) Three ways to build a collective database: –Pay people to organize (Yahoo!) –Ask volunteers to do it (Open Directory) –Architect for participation (Napster, Linux, the WWW) Setting defaults for what is shared the most important architectural decision in software development today!

11 Listening to Google Storage is cheap - save everything Algorithms are powerful - leverage implicit relationships between data items In a world of information richness, close is good enough, serendipity is added value Leverage the “architecture of participation” implicit in the web

12 Amazon - JavaScript

13 BN - JavaScript

14 Listening to Amazon There’s more than one way to do it! –Leverage both implicit and explicit metadata Build an “architecture of participation” by constant small invitations

15 MapQuest

16 Navteq

17 Listening to MapQuest Didn’t build an architecture in which user participation enriched source data Ended up without dominant position - three vendors (AOL, Yahoo!, Microsoft) tracking portal share Control went to data supplier (NavTeq) - the “Intel Inside” NavTeq in turn vulnerable to new data supplier using an implicit metadata strategy, with enrichment by telematics, cell phones, GPS-enabled cameras

18 Microsoft research photomap

19 Social Networking - Orkut

20 Microsoft Wallop

21 Microsoft Wallop 2

22 Dashboard (Nat’s)

23 Listening to Social Networks Rethink the address book for the age of the internet Loads of implicit metadata in email, IM, phone usage Standards needed for FOAF permissioning, not FOAF network building - that should be implicit in architecture of communications applications!

24 Flickr Tagging

25 CiteULike

26 Key Lessons Setting defaults for aggregated data is the most important architectural decision in software development today! Enrichment by user activity should be implicit - applications as learning systems Standards should be minimal, encouraging modularity, interoperability, and innovation from the edge

27 “I’m an inventor. I became interested in long term trends because an invention has to make sense in the world in which it is finished, not the world in which it is started.” -Ray Kurzweil

28 For more information http://tim.oreilly.com/opensource http://conferences.oreilly.com/etech http://www.oreillynet.com


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