1. Getting Prepared-Part Two Analyzing issues Preparing Analysis Defending Your Proposal Getting help Donald Parks 18Oct15

2. Agenda Issue Analyses – Examples Analysis Approach Where is the Information? Assembling the documentation – Briefing Books Resources to Help

3. Issue Analysis First Consideration : History can give clues to potential problem areas Issues can side track or doom your proposal Wrong/misleading statements can destroy your credibility Do not allow campaign to be surprised Some Issues will drive the campaign? First Cut at Evaluation: Substantive or philosophical? Needs research? Answered by 1-3 sentences? Answers compelling? Is deeper analysis required?

4. Issue Analysis (continued) Must know specifications of your proposal : Examples : Underlying management plan direction and acreage Non-federal ownerships – Who owns & owner objectives – Location & acreage Miles of trails & usage – in & near proposal Roads analyses inside & outside proposal – Open/closed/decommissioned Implications for commodity outputs (grazing, timber, minerals) Plans for future development Location of each non-conforming use

5. Issue Analysis (continued) Briefing papers can address multiple issues Example titles: Conservation History of Alpine Lakes 1946-2013 Implications for: – Road/Trail Construction & Access – Adjacent Stakeholders (to proposal) – Energy Development – Recreational Use – Logging, Mining Commodity Production Addressed Issues (during campaign) Responses to Issues Raised by USFS Congressional Testimony Stakeholder Consultation with Upper Snoqualmie Valley Elk Management Group Survey of Potential Opponents to Alpine Lakes Wilderness & Additions and Wild Pratt River Act

6. Issue Analysis (continued) Examples where deeper Analyses maybe needed Historic mining and exploration Timber supply analyses Value of recreation to local economies Changes to recreation opportunities Vitality of local economies Proposal impacts to Local jobs and Income

7. Analysis Approach Establish ‘Baseline’ when assessing implications of output changes Establish current outputs before proposal implemented – Metrics: acres of land; cows; log volumes; jobs Impact Analyses Estimate outputs with proposal implemented Estimate change between current (baseline) & proposal – Output change is “impact” of interest Use of Context Compare “impacts” from proposal w/several geographies (%) – NF level; county or counties; regional outputs Think about output changes from other causes Use analyses by non-interested parties

8. Analysis Approach (continued) Guidance : Information may change or evolve Be conservative in your analyses – Scrutinize outputs – Never ‘lowball’ estimates of impact Cite sources liberally Protect your credibility as if you had none!

9. Issue Analysis-- Example

11. Issue Analysis (continued)

13. Source: WA Labor Market & Economic Analysis Branch data, 9Oct15

14. Where to Find Needed Information? Land management agencies: Current/historic planning documents Historic project documentations (EA’s, EIS’s, other) Land management research offices Ecosystem studies, scientific reports,… Example: USFS Research Stations (WA-OR Region, Portland) Economic Data from State Employment Agencies Employment reports; special county level studies, special industry sector studies Example: WA State Labor Market & Economic Analyses Branch Federal Agency Data Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analyses, Bureau of the Census, Department Agriculture,…..

15. Where to Find Needed Information? (continued) Non-Governmental Sources: Headwaters Economics – Many reports available on-line – Special tools for unique reports, no learning curve! – See: Headwaters Economics newsletter@headwaterseconomics.org newsletter@headwaterseconomics.org ECONorthwest (Eugene, OR) Universities (U of Oregon for example)

16. Assembling Documentation Important Considerations Who are customers? – Campaign management team – Congressional Champions – Certain pieces of info for a few others? Be selective – Distribution very limited Who must not have this Briefing Book info? – Federal Management Agencies – Media – Opposition How to Assemble Information? – Create a ‘briefing book’ – Example to follow

17. Assembling Documentation (continued) Example Briefing Book Table of Contents Legislative Information – Senate Bill Text – House Bill Text – Legislative Proposal Map (USFS) – Legislative Proposal Map (CoreGIS) Wilderness and Wild and Scenic Values – Wilderness Additions Fact Sheet – Wild & Scenic River Fact Sheet – General Wilderness Q&A – General Wild & Scenic River Q&A – Photo Options

18. Assembling Proposal Descriptions (continued) Outreach Summary – Stakeholder Consultation Document-all contacts – Endorsement List – Letters of Support Every public official, state/local who endorsed Every Conservation/Recreation Group who endorsed Hunting & Fishing Organizations who endorsed Religious Leaders who endorsed Recreation Industry who endorsed Mountains To Sound Greenway Emerging Rivers Local Business Letter Every Local Business who endorsed Every Land Conservancy that endorsed Stakeholder Support Letter (5/5/11) – Testimonials

19. Assembling Proposal Descriptions (continued) Issues of Potential Interest – Addressed Issues Fact Sheet – Potential Implications for Forest & Wildlife Management Stakeholder Consultation with USVEMG – Potential Implications for Adjacent Stakeholders Initial Goldmyer Letter Coalition Response Document to Initial Goldmyer Letter – Potential Implications for Recreational Use – Potential Implications for Road & Trails Construction and Access – Potential Implications for Logging Mining & Commodity Production ALPS Economic Impact Assessment 011908 Background on Past Mining Activity & Mineral Potential for the Alpine Lakes Wilderness Additions Mining Claim Map Mining Fact Sheet – Potential Implications for Energy Development – Remnants of Historic Human Activities – Potential Implications on Flood Management

20. Assembling Proposal Descriptions (continued) Media Coverage – 02/13/2013 - SnoValley Star "Alpine Lakes Bill reintroduced in U.S. Congress" – 02/05/2013 - Seattle Times, LETTER (Meg Town), "Alpine Lakes Should be Expanded” (every local print or electronic media story listed)

21. Why Prepare Detailed Boundary Definitions? Forces attention to detail Builds credibility Increases potential for Champions to use our map when they introduce legislation And, when bill passes….. (B) MAP AND DESCRIPTION- (i) IN GENERAL- As soon as practicable after the date of enactment of this Act, the Secretary shall file a map and a legal description of the land designated as wilderness by paragraph (1) with— (I) the Committee on Natural Resources of the House of Representatives; and (II) the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources of the Senate. (ii) FORCE OF LAW- A map and legal description filed under clause (i) shall have the same force and effect as if included in this section, except that the Secretary may correct minor errors in the map and legal description. Agency makes corrections in their favour

22. Club Resources & Other? Internally: Wildlands Grass-Roots Network Team Organizing Department Clubhouse website Grass-Roots Network websites Our Wild America Leadership Team Local Activists with experience Other Club staff with experience Externally: Other NGO’s with lands & waters experience Retired Agency personnel Other retired specialists

23. Questions? Donald Parks 18Oct15