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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 ELENI DESPOTOU DEPUTY SECRETARY GENERAL Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 Munich, 28/10/2009 A PART OF OUR FUTURE
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 2 Overview 1.Who’s EPIA ? 2.Our Policy activities 3.PV Market Outlook 4.Competitiveness of PV 5.Impact on Regional Development 6.Solar Europe Industry Initiative
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 3 Overview 1.Who’s EPIA ? 2.Our Policy activities 3.PV Market Outlook 4.Competitiveness of PV 5.Impact on Regional Development 6.Solar Europe Industry Initiative
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 4 Created in 1985 More than 208 members Represents the whole value chain of the Photovoltaic Industry Secretariat in Brussels - 17 people in 2009 8 Board members elected for 4 years Who is EPIA? EPIA is the world's largest industry association devoted to the solar electricity market.
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 5 EPIA and its members Silicon feedstock: Wacker, REC, DC Chemical… Wafers and Ingots: Crystalox, Scanwafer, Pillar, Podolsky, PV Silicon… Cells: Q-Cells, BP Solar, Isofoton, Shell Solar, SolarWorld, Sharp… Modules: Aleo, Schott Solar, Photowatt, Suntech Power… Systems: Tenesol, Naps Systems, Conergy, Phoenix … Inverters: KACO, SMA, Sputnik, Sunways, Fronius… Cabling: Multi-contact… Equipment and services: AMAT, Centrotherm, Oerlikon, Stangl, IB Vogt, M+W Zander, Vesuvius… EPIA represents 95% of the European photovoltaic industry, and 80% of the global photovoltaic industry world-wide Total Turnover of EPIA members (2008): ~14.000 M€
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 6 Photovoltaïcs (PV) = tranformation of the solar irradiation to electricity
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 7 Applications Source: Fraunhofer ISE
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 8 Skylights
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 9 Why Solar Energy ? 1.Sun is the biggest renewable energy source 2.Sun Provides every hour as much energy on earth as mankind consumes yearly PV covering only 0,71% of EU surface would provide 100% EU electricity needs PV covering only 4% of world’s very dry deserts would meet world PRIMARY energy demand (IEA) 3.PV can be deployed globally – not only in the world sunbelt – but also in regions of less radiation 4.PV is reliable for decades with virtually no maintenance need 5.PV has a very limited – and decreasing – ecological footprint: 1.5 – 3 years payback 6.PV can be implemented from small electrical devices up to large scale solar farms 7.PV can contribute substantially to decrease energy dependence 8.PV stimulates national & regional economies and employment (Germany). 9.PV is perfectly adapted – and already competitive – for remote rural electrification
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 10 Finite resources
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 11 Climate Change 1.Depending on the energy mix replaced by PV, each kWh generated can save up to 900g of CO2 (coal fired power plants). 2.12% of PV electricity in Europe by 2020 can save up to 220 millions metric tons of CO2 each year. Munich, 28/10/2009 TITLE OF THE PRESENTATION
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 12 Overview 1.Who’s EPIA ? 2.Our Policy activities 3.PV Market Outlook 4.Competitiveness of PV 5.Impact on Regional Development 6.Solar Europe Industry Initiative
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 13 Our major interlocutors 1.European Institutions (EC, EP, Council) 2.International institutions 3.Governements of MS 4.Other related industries/associations 5.Utilities 6.NGOs
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 14 Areas of activities 1.Advocacy 2.Regultory frameworks/policy 3.Business intelligence 4.Two ways communication
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 15 Policy areas 1.RES directive – EU’s Renewable Energy Directive 2.Third energy package 3.WEEE & RoHs – Electronic Waste and Hasardous materials directive 4.EPBD – European Directive on Energy Performance of Buildings 5.MSP 6.PV Cycle – PV Modules Recycling 7.REACH – EU’s Directive on Chemical Products 8.SET plan/solar industry initiative 9.ETS/NEPs 10.FPs – European Research Programs
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 16 Overview 1.Who’s EPIA ? 2.Our Policy activities 3.PV Market Outlook 4.Competitiveness of PV 5.Impact on Regional Development 6.Solar Europe Industry Initiative
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 17 PV represented 19% of new EU capacity installations in 2008 Source: Platts, EPIA, EWEA
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 18 EU vs. Global Source: EPIA, 2009
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 19 European annual PV market Outlook until 2013 (Policy-Driven scenario)
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 20 Historical development of Global Cumulative PV power installed per Region
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 21 Historical development of Global Cumulative PV power installed : grid-connected vs. off-grid
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 22 Historical development of the Global annual PV market per Region
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 23 Annual PV Markets TOP 10 worldwide Worldwide ranking annual market 200620072008 CountryMWpCountryMWpCountryMWp 1Germany 850Germany 1.100 Spain 2,511 2Japan 287Spain 560 Germany 1,500 3USA 145Japan 210 USA 342 4Spain 88USA 207 Korea 274 5Korea 20Italy 70 Italy 258 6Italy 13Korea 43 Japan 230 7China 12China 20 Czech Republic 51 8India 12India 20 Portugal 50 9Australia 10Belgium 18 Belgium 48 10France 8Portugal 14 France 46
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 24 Cumulative PV power installed TOP 10 worldwide Worldwide ranking cumulative installed PV power 200620072008 CountryMWpCountryMWpCountryMWp 1Germany 2.708Germany 3.808 Germany 5,308 2Japan 1.708Japan 1.919 Spain 3,223 3USA 624USA 831 Japan 2,149 4Spain 151Spain 712 USA 1,173 5China 80Italy 120 Korea 352 6Australia 70China 100 Italy 350 7Netherlands 53Australia 82 China 145 8Italy 50Korea 78 Australia 100 9Korea 35Netherlands 53 India 90 10India 31India 51 France 87
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 25 Europe: Global PV Market Leader
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 26 2010 ESTIMATES CountryMarket figure 2009Market figure 2010Comments Germany2.3-2.5 GW2 GW – 3GW Possible changes in policy in 2010 Italy400 – 500 MW600 MW EPIA estimates France200 – 280 MW450 – 600 MW 2009: with off-grid systems. Spain100 - 150 MW400 MW EPIA+ASIF estimates USA400 MW (240 MW CA)> 600MW SEIA estimates Japan400 MW100 - 400MW Unclear policy for 2010. China100– 460 MW380 - 1 GW Various sources indicates various results Total World5.2 GW7-9 GW Source: Pv-tech, EPIA
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 27 Overview 1.Who’s EPIA ? 2.Our Policy activities 3.PV Market Outlook 4.Competitiveness of PV 5.Impact on Regional Development 6.Solar Europe Industry Initiative
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 28 Indicative 3 PV deployment scenarios in Europe 1 GW p PV deployment scenarios in Europe 1) (GW p ) 1) Europe 27, Croatia, Norway and Turkey Sources:EPIA, EU DG TREN “European Energy and Transport: trends to 2030, update 2007”, Eurostat Data Portal, EU JRC Photovoltaic Geographical Information System, A.T. Kearney analysis Asymptote without paradigm shift Possible evolution after Paradigm Shift Scenario 3 Scenario 2 Scenario 1 The Paradigm Shift requires significant changes in the existing electricity system and at market and regulatory level, together with a strong collaboration with other players in the energy sector 12% 6% 4%
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 29 3 PV deployment scenarios 1.Scenario 1) Baseline - 4% penetration: this PV penetration does not require changes to the existing electricity system, it requires full cooperation from the whole industry to achieve price reductions and the definition of a good market strategy 2.Scenario 2) Accelerated Growth - 6% penetration : this PV penetration requires minor changes to the existing electricity system, it requires the industry to optimize their Supply Chain, to cooperate with the Utilities on infrastructure changes and compelling product and service offering 3.Scenario 3) Paradigm Shift - 12% penetration: this PV penetration assumes important changes at market, regulatory and utility level, together with significant technology advancements in the electricity system, that free PV penetration from the risk of producing more electricity than the current system can absorb
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 30 In order to sustain a large PV deployment, the PV industry will need to deliver between 70 and 160 GW p p.a. WW by 2020 depending on the scenario Worldwide 1 annual PV installation (GW p ) 1)The analysis assumes 33% of cumulative installation by 2020 in Europe in the Baseline Scenario; 43% in Accelerated Growth Scenario; 55% in Paradigm Shift Sources:EPIA, A.T. Kearney analysis
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 31 Overview of main Feed-in Tariff and Green certificate schemes in Europe CountryMain support scheme Ground mounted BIPVBAPVDurationCapCumulative PV Power installed (end 2008) FranceFiT0.32 - 0.430.600.32 - 0.4320-87 MW GermanyFiT0.320.33 – 0.4320-5,308 MW ItalyFiT0.35 – 0.390.43 – 0.480.39 - 0.43201200 MW430 MW SwitzerlandFiT0.30 - 0.400.38 - 0.560.37 - 0.462516 Mio CHF46 MW AustriaFiT0.30 - 0.4610+1+13.3 MW/year30 MW BelgiumGC Brussels: 0.15 - 0.65 Wallonia: 0.15 - 0.63 Flanders: 0.45 Brussels 10 Wallonia 15 Flanders : 20 -71 MW BulgariaFiT0.38 - 0.4225-1.4 MW Czeck Republic FiT0.48 - 0.4920-54 MW GreeceFiT0.40 - 0.5020-20 MW LuxembourgFiT0.36 - 0.39155MW24 MW NetherlandsFiT0.291515 MW (2009)59 MW PortugalFiT0.625+1012 MW68 MW RomaniaGC0.11 – 0.22100.45 MW SloveniaFiT0.33 - 0.375+5+10-2.1 MW SpainFiT0.32 – 0.3425 500 MW (2009) 3,137 MW UKGC0.03-0.06lifetime24.1 MW
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 32 With the transition to grid parity, the attractiveness of the PV value proposition becomes the driver of mass penetration
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 33 Overview 1.Who’s EPIA ? 2.Our Policy activities 3.PV Market Outlook 4.Competitiveness of PV 5.Impact on Regional Development 6.Solar Europe Industry Initiative
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 34 PV as a driver for regional development 1.Saxony Anhalt, DE 2.Puglia, IT 3.Poitou – Charentes, FR 4.Rhone Alpes, FR
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 35 Employment Ingots/WaferFeedstock/materialsSolar cellSolar module BOS including Installation Physics Chemists Electronic Engineers Production Engineers Installers Retailers Service Engineers Physics Electronic Engineers Production Engineers Value Chain Profiles needed Mn FTE created 1) 1) Does not take into account FTEs displaced in other industries Sources: Freiburg university PV employment study; EPIA Solar Generation V 2008; A.T. Kearney analysis
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 36 Employment
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 37 Overview 1.Who’s EPIA ? 2.Our Policy activities 3.PV Market Outlook 4.Competitiveness of PV 5.Impact on Regional Development 6.Solar Europe Industry Initiative
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 38 List of projects proposed for the SET Plan 1.EU Solar Cities: Large-scale integration of PV in urban areas 2.Gigawatt PV manufacturing (GigaFabs and accompanying pilots) and integral value chain management 3.Environmental sustainability of large-scale deployment of PV 4.Education in support of large-scale PV deployment, and public awareness
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 39 2010 PV electricity price (€ / kWh) 0.35 0.25 0.29 0.22 0.19 PV electricity prices compared with expected consumer electricity prices (+ 1%/yr) consumer electricity price (€ / kWh) 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.21 0.11 0.23 0.13 0.11 source: EUPVTP
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 40 2015 PV electricity price (€ / kWh) 0.25 0.18 0.21 0.16 0.14 PV electricity prices compared with expected consumer electricity prices (+ 1%/yr) consumer electricity price (€ / kWh) 0.16 0.18 0.18 0.22 0.11 0.24 0.13 0.12 source: ECN
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 41 2020 PV electricity price (€ / kWh) 0.20 0.14 0.17 0.13 0.11 PV electricity prices compared with expected consumer electricity prices (+ 1%/yr) consumer electricity price (€ / kWh) 0.16 0.19 0.19 0.23 0.12 0.26 0.14 0.12 source: ECN
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 42 “Solar future is not about fashion, is about survival...” N. Foster www.epia.org
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Main Color Palette Secondary Color Palette CMYK 0/25/100/0 RGB 253/196/0 CMYK 5/80/100/0 RGB 224/81/21 CMYK 0/0/0/100 RGB 0/0/0 CMYK 5/95/100/0 RGB 227/50/38 CMYK 0/70/0/10 RGB 218/104/157 CMYK 50/80/0/0 RGB 148/83/161 CMYK 100/5/5/10 RGB 0/152/203 CMYK 30/8/100/15 RGB 165/175/41 CMYK 0/0/0/60 RGB 98/100/100 43 www.epia.org Eleni Despotou Deputy Secretary General e.despotou@epia.org Solar Electricity A Part of Our Future
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