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1 Transforming with the Census Ed Christopher Resource Center Planning Team Federal Highway Administration 4749 Lincoln Mall Dr. Rm 600 Matteson, IL 60443.

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Presentation on theme: "1 Transforming with the Census Ed Christopher Resource Center Planning Team Federal Highway Administration 4749 Lincoln Mall Dr. Rm 600 Matteson, IL 60443."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 Transforming with the Census Ed Christopher Resource Center Planning Team Federal Highway Administration 4749 Lincoln Mall Dr. Rm 600 Matteson, IL 60443 708-283-3534 edc@EdtheFed.com How is the Transportation Community Transforming to meet the changes with the Census Data?

2 2 Back in the Day Every 10 years the Census Bureau Counted the Population (Short Form) Sampled our Characteristics (Long Form)

3 3 Short Form 10 Questions Name Sex Age Relationship Hispanic Origin Race Owner/Renter Telephone Number Part Time Residency April Residents 100% Population count First Census 1790 Constitutionally Mandated Sets Congressional Seats Mandatory Participation $100 fine failing to respond $500 fine for lying 2010 is the 23 rd Headcount In 1930 Census Day became April 1 st

4 4 Long Form 1940 Sampling First Used All HH Occupants Constitutionally Mandated Questions Questions Change Overtime 2000 was the LAST Decennial Long Form 17% Sample of Households (1 in 6) ~ 12 pages M onthly Mortgage Real Estate Taxes Indoor Plumbing Income Occupation Educational Level Household age Number of Rooms Why is the Long Form so important to us?

5 5 OMB required- Metro Areas Coded to City or County No Special Tabulations 1960 -- JTW Question Arrives

6 6 FHWA provided table specs First DOT funding 43 Tables, “Caveat Emptor” 112 Purchasers, Local TAZs Address coding (DIME) Block level Urban Transportation Planning Package 1970--First Transportation Tables Produced

7 7 Core Elements Summarized data by Place of Residence Place of Work Flows between Home and Work Custom Geography (Local TAZs) Unique Universes (e.g. workers in HHs) Designed and paid for by transportation planners for transportation planners

8 8 Census Bureau hired JTW staff -- better delivery -- geo QC Work trip imputation (allocation) 150 Buyers More detail data (more modes, vehicle occupancy, travel time) 1980--UTPP Expands

9 9 Name changed from UTPP to CTPP Wall-to-Wall Coverage (AASHTO/NARC pooled fund) First state package More data (departure time, occupancy) Extraction software BTS CD release 1990--New Era Begins Census Transportation Planning Package emerges

10 10 CTPP Community matures TRB Subcommittee (est. 1998) ~Newsletter ~List Serve ~On Call assistance and outreach Enhanced TAZ Definition process Improved Extraction software Disclosure Rules Emerge!!! 2000--CTPP Takes Hold

11 11 Enter the ACS era… 2005--The Long Form goes away - Continuous Survey Methodology - Conducted Monthly - About 1 in 40 Households Sampled per year - 250,000 Households Sampled per month - Same Transportation questions as 2000 Long Form - 3 basic Period Estimates Annual 65K+ 3-year > 20K 5-year, block Groups and up Smaller sample, Margins of Error (MOE)

12 12 C ensus T ransportation P lanning P roducts The CTPP embodies a collection of Census Data used for Transportation Planning. With changing data needs and the ACS, there will be a variety of different products useful for transportation planning emanating from Census Data. There will be Special Tabulations, Standard Tables and even Value Added-products. The CTPP captures all of these. Think of CTPP as a place to look for Census Data products to help with your Transportation needs CTPP Transforms Itself

13 13 Buyers/UsersDirect CostTables 1960OMB??? 1970112$0.6 M43 1980152$2.0 M82 1990$2.5 M120 2000$3.0 M203 2005 + AASHTO Consolidated Purchase $5.8 M Multiple Products All States and MPOs Transformation over time

14  All States + DC  AASHTO Led  Oversight Board  Five Year period ~ 2011 (2012) AASHTO CTPP Program Federal Technical Advisory Group TRB Subcommittee -- List Serve (830 strong) Quarterly Newsletter -- Outreach Several Websites Acquire Data and Develop Products 63% Research, Training and Outreach 21% Manage Program 3% Board Discretion 12% TOTAL$5,844,332

15 15 States Laine Heltebridle, PA (Region I) Nathan Erlbaum, NY (Region I) Hui Wei Shen, FL (Region II) Paul Agnello, VA (Region II) Phillip Mescher, IA (Region III) Ahmad Jaber, UT (Region IV) Ayalew Adamu, CA (Region IV) MPOs Kuo-Ann Chiao, NYMTC Steven Gayle, BMTS Mell Henderson, MARC Arash Mirzaei, NCTCOG Guy Rousseau, ARC Clara Reschovsky,MWCOG Pete Swensson, TRPC Vacant Ex Officio Members Ed Christopher, FHWA Brian McKenzie, Census Bureau Alison Fields, Census Bureau Rich Denbow, AMPO Elaine Murakami, FHWA Robert Padgette, APTA Alan Pisarski, Consultant Steven Polzin, USF. CUTR Nanda Srinivasan, TRB John Sprowls, FTA Chair: Jennifer Finch, CO (Region IV) Vice Chair: Jonette Kreideweis, MN (Region III) : AASHTO Liaison: Penelope Weinberger 17 voting members: 9 states and 8 MPOs Consensus Decision Making AASHTO CTPP Oversight Board (ACOB)

16 16 Penelope Weinberger CTPP Program Manager, AASHTO 444 North Capitol Street NE Suite 249 Washington, DC 20001 202-624-3556 pweinberger@aashto.org http://ctpp.transportation.org Special Staff Additions Brian McKenzie CTPP Program Manager Census Bureau 301-763-2454 Brian.McKenzie@census.gov

17 17 CTPP Data Products CTPP 3-Year Main Product September 2010 2006, 2007, 2008 20,000 Pop. Areas (County, Place, PUMAs) Actual Flows http://trbcensus.com/products /

18 18 The 3-year Product Design 2000 Geography MSA – EACH Principal City Metropolitan Statistical Area State-POW PUMA State-PUMA State-Place State-County-MCD State-County Nation (US Total) Product Structure 3-Parts Part 1- Place of Residence Part 2- Place of Work Part 3- Flows between Home and Work (with Extraction Software) State http://trbcensus.com/products/3-year_ACS/ctpptables-09apr01-rev2.xls

19 19 3-year CTPP Product Summary HighlightsLow Lights Based on CTPP2000 Tables Many NEW Univariate Tables More Age Tables Streamlined Race Tables More HH and HH Lifecycle Tables More English Proficiency Tables Way more Flows Tables Incomplete Coverage Rounded Reduced Number of Crosstabs with Mode -- Travel time -- Household income -- Vehicle availability -- Age -- Time leaving home Tables will have Suppression -- Means based on 3 values -- 3 records in Flow

20 20 3-Year Data Profiles  Uses 2005-2007 ACS  Compares to 2000  Focused on Transportation  Includes Significance Tests http://download.ctpp.transportation.org/profiles_2005-2007/ctpp_profiles.html

21 21 CTPP 5-year data product CTPP 5-Year Main Product Fall 2012 2006, 07, 08, 09, 2010 Small Areas (Tract, TAZ, Block Group) New TAZs and TADS Synthetic Data and Flows

22 22 “NEW” TAZs Traffic Analysis Zones http://trbcensus.com/notes/ACSTAZs.pdf Developed in Summer 2011 TAZs will nest with TADs GIS equivalency process Funded under Consolidated Purchase FHWA is contacting state DOTs to set up contacts TAZ Traffic Analysis Zone Traditional Size TAD Traffic Analysis District 20,000 population

23 23 Building the 5-year data Key product to the 5-year CTPP product NCHRP Project 8-79 ($550K) Producing Transportation Data Products from the American Community Survey that Comply with Disclosure Rules Contractor Westat Inc. http://www.trb.org/TRBNet/ProjectDisplay.asp?ProjectID=2708

24 24 Emerging Issues Livability and performance measures Light Rail Conundrum Bad Urbanized Area Population data Issues with ACS PUMS (0ver 65) The Transformation Never Stops

25 25 Resources

26 26 CTPP List Serve http://trbcensus.com

27 27 “Status Report” newsletter http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ctpp/status.htm http://www.trbcensus.com/newsletters.html

28 28 ACS Data Profiles & AAHTO CTPP Page http://ctpp.transportation.org

29 29 Report 588 A Guidebook for Using ACS Data for Transportation Planning 275 pages Trend Analysis How to recalculate Margins of Error http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/nchrp/nchrp_rpt_588.pdf Training and Technical Assistance

30 30 A Compass for Understanding And Using ACS Data  Set of user-specific handbooks  Train-the trainer materials  E-learning ACS Tutorial http://www.census.gov/acs/www/UseData/Compass/compass_series.html Working with ACS

31 31 Recorded Webinars http://ctpp.transportation.org/pages/webinars.aspx Permanently housed on the AASHTO CTPP Website As completed temporarily linked on the FHWA CTPP web room http://fhwa.na3.acrobat.com/ctpp1 Recently completed June 18, 2010: Introduction to CTPP June 11, 2010: NEW webinar on Urbanized areas

32 32 Getting Data - Census Standard Products http://factfinder.census.gov FactFinder

33 33 What is on your mind? http://www.edthefed.com/presentations/CTPPhistory(07-07-2010).ppt For a free copy of these slides go to http://www.dot.gov/ctpp http://www.TRBcensus.com http://ctpp.transportation.org


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