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‘Opening up’ climate engineering assessment Dr. Rob Bellamy Climate Geoengineering Governance Project, Institute for Science, Innovation and Society, University.

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Presentation on theme: "‘Opening up’ climate engineering assessment Dr. Rob Bellamy Climate Geoengineering Governance Project, Institute for Science, Innovation and Society, University."— Presentation transcript:

1 ‘Opening up’ climate engineering assessment Dr. Rob Bellamy Climate Geoengineering Governance Project, Institute for Science, Innovation and Society, University of Oxford

2 ‘Closing down’ assessment Bellamy et al. (2012) Contextual isolation Post-normal science Analytic- deliberative Low reflexivity Narrow framings

3 The Royal Society case 4 technical criteria 2 privileged But, 6 permutations AFF/SAI Uncertainty Bellamy (2013)

4 ‘Opening up’ assessment Bellamy et al. (2013); Bellamy et al. (accepted) Assessment needs: context, diversity, reflexivity Deliberative Mapping: an analytic-deliberative method that supports responsible innovation 2 strands, a multi-criteria approach (Mapping the Landscape of Climate Engineering, Thursday 09:00)

5 Criteria development Bellamy et al. (2013); Bellamy et al. (accepted) Expanded criteria range Expanded criteria depth 80 unique criteria 39 criteria subgroups 9 criteria groups

6 Option performance Bellamy et al. (2013); Bellamy et al. (accepted) Uncertainty and variability Mitigation options outperform climate engineering ‘High’, ‘middle’ and ‘low’ performing options Some ruled out on principle

7 Conclusions and recommendations A reflective and reflexive framework for assessing climate engineering and other options for tackling climate change A radically different view of option performance: climate engineering proposals are outperformed by mitigation alternatives, with stratospheric aerosol injection performing particularly poorly Future assessments should continue to ‘open up’ to diversity and reflexivity Bellamy et al. (2013); Bellamy et al. (accepted); Bellamy et al. (2014)

8 References Bellamy, R., Chilvers, J., Vaughan, N. and Lenton, T. (2013): ‘Opening up’ geoengineering appraisal: Multi-Criteria Mapping of options for tackling climate change. Global Environmental Change, 23, 926 – 937. Bellamy, R., Chilvers, J., Vaughan, N. and Lenton, T. (2012): A review of climate geoengineering appraisals. WIREs Climate Change, 3, 597 – 615. Bellamy, R., Chilvers, J. and Vaughan, N. (accepted): Deliberative Mapping of options for tackling climate change: citizens and specialists ‘open up’ appraisal of geoengineering. Public Understanding of Science. Bellamy, R. (2014): Beyond climate control: ‘opening up’ propositions for geoengineering governance. Climate Geoengineering Governance Project Working Paper 11. Bellamy, R. (2013): Framing geoengineering assessment. Opinion Article, Geoengineering Our Climate Working Paper and Opinion Article Series. Available at: http://wp.me/p2zsRk-9H


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