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Dover Corporation Presented by Greysi Burroughs Rena Huynh Helen Tse
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Agenda Company Overview – Rena Financial Statement Analysis – Greysi Firm Riskiness – Helen Beta – Helen Cost of Equity – Rena Firm Valuation Discount Dividend Model (DDM) – Greysi Free Cash Flow Model (FCFM) – Helen Multiples (P/E ratio) – Rena Final Valuation and Recommendations – Greysi
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Company Overview Brief History Founded: 1955 HQ: Downers Grove, Illinois Diversified Global Manufacturer Volume: > $8 Billion Exchange: NYSE under “DOV”
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Company Overview 4 Major Operating Segments Industry-leading product innovation Providing innovative products & solutions that serve drilling, production and downstream markets 1. Global pump & fluid handling markets 2. Refrigeration systems Provides integrated printing, coding, identification equipment Provide acoustic components for consumer electric markets *serves life sciences, aerospace, & telecom markets
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Financial Statement Analysis Liquidity Ratios Dover Corp.201120102009Industry Current Ratio2.82x2.73x2.60x1.2x Quick Ratio2.16x 2.01x0.9x Asset Management Ratios Dover Corp.201120102009Industry Inventory Turnover 9.9x10.09x9.36x5.8x Day Sales Outstanding 55 days56 days60 daysN/A Fixed Asset Turnover 7.94x8.45x6.45xN/A Total Asset Turnover 0.84x0.76x0.68x0.6x
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Profitability Ratios Market Value Ratios Debt Management Ratios Dover Corp.201120102009Industry Total Debt48%47%48%N/A Interest Coverage10.47x9.48x5.88x6.8x Dover Corp.201120102009Industry Profit Margin11.26%10.54%6.67%8.79% Return on Assets9.42%8.18%4.52%5.1% Return on Equity18.16%15.47%8.73%14.67% Dover Corp.201120102009Industry Price Earnings11.72x14.86x20.3x21x Market to Book2.13x2.3x1.77x2.55x Financial Statement Analysis
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Firm Riskiness Economic conditions and uncertainties Competitive environment Advanced technology Increased price/unavailability of raw materials Litigations Foreign operations
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Beta Dover’s computed beta: 1.4 (Yahoo Finance) Dover beta: 1.5 Our beta will be used in the Capital Asset Pricing Model that will help calculate the expected return of Dover.
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Cost of Equity
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Valuation: Dividend Discount Model Assumptions Non-constant growth rate: 12.8% Constant growth rate: 5.5% Cost of equity: 9.89% Valuation for December 2011: $50.45 Stock Price as of 12/31/11: $56.51 per share
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Valuation: FCFM Assumptions Based on past 3 years (2011, 2010, 2009) Created pro forma financial statement for next 10 years Forecasted unlevered free cash flow Dover’s value was estimated to be $244.25 per share In comparison to $56.51 per share on December 2011
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Valuation: Multiples Stock Price as of 12/31/11: $56.51 per share Method 1: Valuation = $54.04 Method 2: Valuation = $65.14 Method 3: Valuation = $140.32
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Final Valuation Estimate and Recommendation Dover’s value estimate for 12/11 is $56.54 per share Stock price on 12/31/11 was $56.51 per share Average of – DDM: $50.45 per share – Valuation by Multiples Method 1: $54.04 per share – Method 2: $65.14 per share Recommendation: BUY!!!
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