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Declining Enrollments: Data Betsy Bizot Computing Research Association CCSCE, October 11, 2008
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Measuring the Decline Degrees granted are the bottom line, but slow to respond to changes Leading indicators Interest in major before college Intent to major when beginning college Declaring a major Diversity an ongoing concern
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Sources of Data - 1 Taulbee Survey, Computing Research Association www.cra.org www.cra.org Plus: Specializes in CS/CE, now including IT/IS Plus: enrollment and new students as well as degrees Plus: quick publication gives advance look at trends Minus (and it’s a big one): PhD-granting institutions only National Science Foundation www.nsf.gov/statisticswww.nsf.gov/statistics Plus: Comprehensive data on degrees in science & engineering and status of women / underrepresented minorities / persons with disabilities Minus: “Computer and Information Sciences” lumped together Minus: Comprehensive nature means delays in publication: up to 2006
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Sources of Data - 2 NCES/IPEDS http://nces.ed.gov/IPEDS/http://nces.ed.gov/IPEDS/ Plus: Even more comprehensive than NSF Plus and Minus: Comprehensive but complex data tools online Minus: Not everything available by field Higher Education Research Institute (intent to major) http://www.gseis.ucla.edu/heri/index.php http://www.gseis.ucla.edu/heri/index.php College Board (interest in major) www.collegeboard.comwww.collegeboard.com
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Degrees are declining, but it has happened before
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Degrees peaked in 2004, but interest in CS as a major started to decline in 2000
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A closer look at degrees, last 10 years
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Enrollments are still declining, but newly declared majors seem to be leveling off
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Type of institution and diversity NCES 2004 data, undergraduates Type of institution %F%Black%Hispanic Public doctorate 18.012.54.7 Private doctorate 21.012.911.2 Public 4-year nondoctorate 21.515.27.8 Private 4-year nondoctorate 31.822.011.6 For-profit (often nontraditional students) 25.827.015.1
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