1. FEASIBLE tool: prospects for further developments Alexander Martoussevitch Paris, 23 February, 2007 EAP Task Force

2. 2 Outline of the presentation Objective of the presentation FEASIBLE in progress Ways forward EAP Task Force

3. 3 Objective of the presentation Update you about the latest developments of FEASIBLE tool Present the remaining difficulties with the tool with regards to: –Data requirements –Functionalities –Dissemination Discuss ways forward EAP Task Force

4. 4 FEASIBLE in progress: Why a decision-support tool Provide robust calculations to support policy dialogue Organise data collection and treatment Simulate alternative scenarios for sectoral policies –Targets –Time frames –Tariffs and subsidies, loans and grants – «what-if» simulations quick and easy EAP Task Force

5. 5 FEASIBLE in progress: Key aspects of the tool A tool: the FEASIBLE model, to –Assess the costs of alternative scenarios on the level of service –Measure available financial resources –Calculate a financial gap –Simulate the impact of various policy packages to close the financial gap The model –uses generic cost functions, adjusted for local conditions and prices –uses aggregated figures for territory under consideration, i.e. regional or national, but not local –calculates cash flow gap as key output EAP Task Force

6. 6 FEASIBLE in progress: Recent developments 2000: FEASIBLE-1 –EXCEL-based –Urban WSS –Financing 2002: Stand alone Module on MW –ACCESS-based 2004: FEASIBLE-2 –Delphi-based –Integrate Modules on MW and WSS 2006: new Module on Rural WSS –is being pilot tested in Armenia and Moldova, in co-operation with the EUWI EAP Task Force

7. 7 FEASIBLE in progress: Current structure of the tool

8. 8 Ways forward: Adaptation of the tool FEASIBLE –better ensure integrity of data –Refine the finance module (the module presents aggregated data, assuming cross- subsidisation between service providers) –generate additional output charts –improve scenario management (e.g. capacity to model non-regular water supply) –consider integrating marginal cost functions Documentation –the User manual (three years old) –the Guidelines on methodology –alternative methods to collect data in rural areas EAP Task Force

9. 9 Ways forward: Further dissemination Working with consultancies: –COWI AS (Denmark, developer), JACOBS (UK), TME (Netherlands), the Institute for Urban Economics (Russia), other candidates (PWC, etc.) Requests for the tool from 66 individuals Working in other regions may require adaptation of the tool to the local context Comparison with similar tools –e.g. SWIFT for WSS Lower the “entry barrier” –Still remains relatively high: require 1-2 day training + a hotline EAP Task Force