1. 1 What Can Wind Do for Energy Security? Hisashi Hoshi The Institute of Energy Economics, Japan Quantum Leap in Wind :Overcoming Challenges and Building Momentum in Asia Manila, 20-21 June 2011

2. 2 Energy Insecurity of Japan (Contingent Risks Experienced)  On and after March 11 Blackout Cutoffs of water and gas supply No Oil : Gasoline, Diesel, Heating Kerosene  Summer 2011 All-out effort to avoid power shortage in the midst of nuclear disaster

3. 3 TEPCO on Alert (Source :TEPCO Homepage)

4. 4 Energy Insecurity of Japan (Structural Risks, Additional)  Unpredictable Nuclear Power Outlook 14 Planned units by 2030 in Question Local authorities ’ resistance to restart of idle reactors.

5. 5 Growing China and India Primary Energy Demand (Asia) (Source:IEEJ)

6. 6 Supply and Demand of Oil in Asia Vulnerable Asia 479 612 1,067 1,380 1,720 1,901 229 304 372 390 367 353 250 308 695 990 1,353 1,548 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 198019902008202020302035 DemandProductionNet import Mtoe. (Source:IEEJ)

7. 7 More Renewables!  Japan (1974) CSP (Sunshine Program)  Brazil (1981) Bioethanol  China (2006) Renewable Energy Law  Japan (2011) “ Rooftop PV on 10 mil. houses ”

8. 8 Does Wind work for Energy Security?  Risks to address Physical Shortage 1.Concentration of supply source 2.Transportation (chokepoint) 3.Geopolitical instability 4.Energy mix portfolio Price volatility

9. 9 Does Wind work for Energy Security?  Some drawbacks of wind power Variability Distance from Demand Centre Social Acceptance

10. 10 Social Acceptance Beautiful Ugly

11. 11 Conclusion  While Energy Security must be achieved through multiple measures, RE including wind power will best serve the end.  Wind Power has its drawbacks. But they are surmountable, and tolerable if benefits are considered.