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Service Manager Forecasting (traffic, orders, …) Determine the Level of Service (Newsboy) Estimate Manpower Requirements Shift Scheduling (LP, IP) Assigning.

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Presentation on theme: "Service Manager Forecasting (traffic, orders, …) Determine the Level of Service (Newsboy) Estimate Manpower Requirements Shift Scheduling (LP, IP) Assigning."— Presentation transcript:

1 Service Manager Forecasting (traffic, orders, …) Determine the Level of Service (Newsboy) Estimate Manpower Requirements Shift Scheduling (LP, IP) Assigning Shifts to Workers (Assignment, LP) Job Sequencing and Scheduling

2 Determine the Level of Service Choose Service Criteria (t.d. Average Waiting Time or P(wait>T) P(wait) or P(balking) “Newsboy Problem” Probability Distribution of Demand Estimate Cost Under & Over Usually difficult => Service Level

3 Manpower Requirements Experience Statistics Queueing Theory QTP, Armann Ingolfsson Simulation: @Risk, Crystal Ball Simul8 ProModel

4 Queueing Theory Analytical Models of Waiting Systems Markov-assumptions, i.e. expon (both arrivals & service) Poisson Memoryless Process! Open/Closed System (“Limited Source”) Wait/Balk (“Limited Queue”) Steady State: Arrivals < Capacity

5 Open Systems, M/M/s M/M/1 og M/M/s TEMPLATE.XLS Given: Arrival og cap. s*µ,Ws=1/µ Steady State: U = Ls/s = / s*µ < 1 Key Results: L, Lq, W, Wq L = Lq + Ls, W = Wq + Ws Little: L = *W og Lq= *Wq

6 Optimizing Waiting Systems Given (beside, µ): Cs og Cq Find economical no of servers s Difficult to estimate Cq, therefore service level Other models, see G/G/s (approx) etc LIMITED_Q_TEMPLATE.XLS LIMITED_SOURCE_TEMPLATE.XLS

7 Simulating Waiting Systems Simulation more realistic, “you can always simulate”! Not limited to Markov assumptions Sometimes expensive model building Sometimes too great expectations MULTISERVERSIM.XLS Simul8, ProModel, …

8 Shift Scheduling Scheduling shifts on days/weeks See p. 148 in Rardin Based on known manpower requirements Ex p. 142 í W&A, WorkerScheduling.xls, Work 5 days, off 2 days Determine how many start at time t Min no of employees needed, LP

9 Assigning shifts or tasks “Assignment”, see p 235- in W&A Transport Model with all RHS = 1 Assigning jobs to men/machines Swim Teams, Exam Shedules, Fishing Vessels Landings, … See p 58 in Rardin “Crew Scheduling”, See p 572 in Rardin Assigning Shifts: Employees grade shifts

10 Job Sequencing See p 609- in Rardin Orders or Batches Given: Processing Times, Due Dates Criteria: Flow and/or Due Dates Rules: FCFS, SPT, Slack, EDD Complexity: n jobs to m machines, min setup time, …


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