1. Higher Education and Research in 2020: A view from the World Bank CHEPS 20 th Anniversary Conference Enschede, 16 September 2004

2. CHEPS’scenarios on higher education & research

3. outline of the presentation... how different is the future? implications for developing countries implications for the World Bank

4. outline of the presentation... how different is the future?

5. the future has already arrived... n networks n new education technologies n business-like management practices n tuition fees, vouchers & student loans n multi-faceted quality assurance systems

6. convergence vs. diversity: are the scenarios mutually exclusive? n demographics n pedagogical model n basic vs. applied research n quality assurance n funding n presence of private providers

7. missing n global dimensions and influences u countries (China, India, USA) u borderless providers u brain drain

8. new providers n long distance competition n franchise universities n corporate universities n media companies, libraries, museums & secondary schools n education brokers

9. missing n global dimensions and influences u countries (China, India, USA) u borderless providers u brain drain n non-university institutions

10. missing n global dimensions and influences u countries (China, India, USA) u borderless providers u brain drain n non-university institutions n academic & pedagogical revolution

11. academic dimensions n learning and motivation of the student n shape of the university n language policy n duration of degree validity n multi-disciplinarity n problem-based learning n technology-enhanced, interactive learning

12. life long learning

13. life long learning, 80 years later

14. university of the future? postgraduate studies first degree continuing education

15. GRIN: technologies of the future n genomics u personal genomics u RNAi therapy n robotics n information u synthetic biology u universal translation u Bayesian machine learning u distributed storage u power grid control n nanotechnology u nanowires u microfluidic optical fibers

20. the brick university

22. the click university

26. missing n global dimensions and influences u countries (China, India, USA) u borderless providers u brain drain n non-university institutions n academic & pedagogical revolution n realism about political economy of reform and potential disparities

27. the volatile setting

28. missing n global dimensions and influences u countries (China, India, USA) u borderless providers u brain drain n non-university institutions n academic & pedagogical revolution n realism about political economy of reform and potential disparities n regional role of universities

30. missing n global dimensions and influences u countries (China, India, USA) u borderless providers u brain drain n non-university institutions n academic & pedagogical revolution n realism about political economy of reform and potential disparities n regional role of universities n international role of European universities (business vs. solidarity)

31. outline of the presentation... how different is the future? implications for developing countries

32. is it at all relevant? aren’t the problems totally different?

34. similar challenges n new education and training needs linked to globalization and competitiveness agenda n increased competition from foreign providers n tapping the potential of new information & communication technologies

35. common quality concerns n diploma mills n franchise universities n virtual universities n e-learning n individualized learning

36. similar history n in most developing countries, universities built after European model u colonial model u Humboldt model

38. outline of the presentation... how different is the future? implications for developing countries implications for the World Bank

39. focus of support n country level n global level

40. at the country level n support for reforms through u policy dialogue u financing u technical assistance

41. flexibility n strategic planning to provide direction for change n close linkages with the economic and social environment for adequate feedback n ability to react and adapt rapidly

43. global public goods n brain drain n quality assurance for borderless education n trade barriers n ICT infrastructure (access and pricing) n intellectual property rights

44. the digital divide

45. Internet Users per 10,000 people, (2002)

49. conclusion

50. Forecasts are typically difficult to make,

51. especially about the future. Niels Bohr

52. what we can be sure of n changing technologies n changing demand: growing, more diversified, less local n growing competition (for resources and customers) u among similar institutions u among diverse providers

53. competing in the learning society...

57. a vision for the future