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Quality Control Agenda - What is quality? - Approaches in quality control - Accept/Reject testing - Sampling (statistical QC) - Control Charts - Robust design methods
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What is ‘Quality’ Performance: - A product that ‘performs better’ than others at same function Example: Sound quality of Apple iPod vs. iRiver… - Number of features, user interface Examples: Tri-Band mobile phone vs. Dual-Band mobile phone Notebook cursor control (IBM joystick vs. touchpad)
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- A product that needs frequent repair has ‘poor quality’
What is ‘Quality’ Reliability: - A product that needs frequent repair has ‘poor quality’ Example: Consumer Reports surveyed the owners of > 1 million vehicles. To calculate predicted reliability for 2006 model-year vehicles, the magazine averaged overall reliability scores for the last three model years (two years for newer models) Best predicted reliability: Sporty cars/Convertibles Coupes Honda S2000 Mazda MX-5 Miata (2005) Lexus SC430 Chevrolet Monte Carlo (2005)
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- A product that has longer expected service life
What is ‘Quality’ Durability: - A product that has longer expected service life Adidas Barricade 3 Men's Shoe (6-Month outsole warranty) Nike Air Resolve Plus Mid Men’s Shoe (no warranty)
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What is ‘Quality’ Aesthetics: - A product that is ‘better looking’ or ‘more appealing’ Examples? or ?
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Defining quality for producers..
Example: [Montgomery] - Real case study performed in ~1980 for a US car manufacturer - Two suppliers of transmissions (gear-box) for same car model Supplier 1: Japanese; Supplier 2: USA - USA transmissions has 4x service/repair costs than Japan transmissions Lower variability Lower failure rate Distribution of critical dimensions from transmissions
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Definitions Quality is inversely proportional to variability Quality improvement is the reduction in variability of products/services. How to reduce in variability of products/services ?
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QC Approaches (1) Accept/Reject testing (2) Sampling (statistical QC) (3) Statistical Process Control [Shewhart] (4) Robust design methods (Design Of Experiments) [Taguchi]
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Accept/Reject testing
- Find the ‘characteristic’ that defines quality - Find a reliable, accurate method to measure it - Measure each item - All items outside the acceptance limits are scrapped Lower Specified Limit Upper Specified Limit target Measured characteristic
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Problem with Accept/Reject testing
(1) May not be possible to measure all data Examples: Performance of Air-conditioning system, measure temperature of room Pressure in soda can at 10° (2) May be too expensive to measure each sample Service time for customers at McDonalds Defective surface on small metal screw-heads
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Problems with Accept/Reject testing
Solution: only measure a subset of all samples This approach is called: Statistical Quality Control What is statistics?
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Background: Statistics
Average value (mean) and spread (standard deviation) Given a list of n numbers, e.g.: 19, 21, 18, 20, 20, 21, 20, 20. Mean = m = S ai / n = ( ) / 8 = The variance s2 = ≈ The standard deviation = s = = √( s2) ≈
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Background: Statistics..
Example. Air-conditioning system cools the living room and bedroom to 20; Suppose now I want to know the average temperature in a room: - Measure the temperature at 5 different locations in each room. Living Room: 18, 19, 20, 21, 22. Bedroom: 19, 20, 20, 20, 19. What is the average temperature in the living room? m = S ai / n = ( ) / 5 = 20. BUT: is m = m ?
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Background: Statistics...
Example (continued) m = S ai / n = ( ) / 5 = 20. BUT: is m = m ? If: sample points are selected randomly, thermometer is accurate, … then m is an unbiased estimator of m. - take many samples of 5 data points, - the mean of the set of m-values will approach m - how good is the estimate?
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Background: Statistics....
Example. Air-conditioning system cools the living room and bedroom to 20; Suppose now I want to know the variation of temperature in a room: - Measure the temperature at 5 different locations in each room. Living Room: 18, 19, 20, 21, 22. sn = ≈ BUT: is sn = s ? No! The unbiased estimator of stdev of a sample = s =
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Sampling: Example Soda can production: Design spec: pressure of a sealed can 50PSI at 10C Testing: sample few randomly selected cans each hour Questions: How many should we test? Which cans should we select? To Answer: We need to know the distribution of pressure among all cans Problem: How can we know the distribution of pressure among all cans?
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Sampling: Example.. How can we know the distribution of pressure among all cans? Plot a histogram showing %-cans with pressure in different ranges
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Limit (as histogram step-size) 0: probability density function
Sampling: Example… Limit (as histogram step-size) 0: probability density function 50 55 60 65 70 45 40 35 30 pressure (psi) pdf is (almost) the familiar bell-shaped Gaussian curve! why? True Gaussian curve: [-∞ , ∞]; pressure: [0, 95psi]
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Why is everything normal?
pdf of many natural random variables ~ normal distribution WHY ? Central Limit Theorem Let X random variable, any pdf, mean, m, and variance, s2 Let Sn = sum of n randomly selected values of X; As n ∞ Sn approaches normal distribution with mean = nSn, and variance = ns2.
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Central limit theorem.. Example X1 = -1, with probability 1/3
1 S1 p(S1) Example X X X1 + X2 X1 + X2 = -2, with probability 1/9 -1, with probability 2/9 0, with probability 3/9 1, with probability 2/9 2, with probability 1/9 -1 1 -2 2 S2 p(S2) X1 + X2 + X3 = -3, with probability 1/27 -2, with probability 3/27 -1, with probability 6/27 0, with probability 7/27 1, with probability 6/27 2, with probability 3/27 3, with probability 1/27 -1 1 -2 2 -3 3 S3 p(S3) Gaussian curve Curve joining p(S3)
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(Weaker) Central Limit Theorem...
Let Sn = X1 + X2 + … + Xn Different pdf, same m and s normalized Sn is ~ normally distributed Another Weak CLT: Under some constraints, even if Xi are from different pdf’s, with different m and s, the normalized sum is nearly normal!
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Central Limit Therem.... Observation: For many physical processes/objects variation is f( many independent factors) effect of each individual factor is relatively small Observation + CLT The variation of parameter(s) measuring the physical phenomenon will follow Gaussian pdf
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Sampling for QC Soda Can Problem, recalled: How can we know the distribution of pressure among all cans? Answer: We can assume it is normally distributed Problem: But what is the m, s ? Answer: We will estimate these values
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