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Rocky Mountain Area Transmission Study Steering Committee Meeting 2013 Case Alt 1 & 2 - Iteration 2 – Test Transmission Solutions Alt 3 & 4 – Iteration 1 - Define Congestion March 4, 2004
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2 2013 Case Observation/Qualifications – Alt 1 & 2 Results from Alternative 2 (regionally “optimized”- pseudo IRP for the region) shows greater value to the Rocky Mountain region over Alternative 1 (existing & uncoordinated company IRPs) Results: Quantify the value of Alternate 2 over Alternate 1 Validate the need to build new transmission to integrate “new” resources in the Rocky Mountain area Highlight the need to reinforce the Bridger and Central Wyoming transmission (LMP values ~$10 to $20 lower than other locations, even within the region). Pave the way to consider reinforcing export paths ($57 LMP at LADWP vs $22 at Laramie River) Reminder, results account for just VOM costs; no consideration has been given thus far to transmission & resources capital costs
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3 2013 Case Generation Alternatives for 2013 runs 20% of wind nameplate applies toward capacity Designed Alternative 1 based RMATS load growth, IRPs and minimum new transmission; configured incremental resource additions in each state to meet projected load growth plus reserves in that state; major wind in CO-E and SW Wyoming close to load centers. Designed Alternative 2 based on RMATS load growth with a focus on Powder River coal and open range wind (cheaper resource cost) and may require more transmission in the region. Designed Alternative 3 as an export case (incremental resources equal to 2 times RMATS load growth) with additional Powder River (and Utah) coal and open range wind necessitating more transmission for export. Designed Alternative 4 as a larger export case (3 times RMATS load growth) Powder River (and Utah) coal and open range wind necessitating more transmission for export.
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4 2013 Case Iteration 2 – TAWG Solutions Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 1
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5 2013 Case Top Congested Paths Transmission Constraints - Alternative 1
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6 2013 Case Transmission Constraints - Alternative 2 Top Congested Paths
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Rocky Mountain Area Transmission Study Alternative 1 Iteration 2
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8 2013 Case Transmission Additions – Alternative 1 RUN 1: Bridger to Naughton to Ben Lomond 345 line (Bridger West and Naughton West) Miners to Bridger 345 and Miners 345/230 transformer. 230 Midpoint to Boise Note: TOT 2C was the path with the highest congestion and opportunity cost, but was not included in Alternative 1 because the TAWG felt that it should be dealt with in an export case. Transmission additions to Path 2C will be analyzed in Alternatives 3 & 4.
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9 2013 Case Relieving Transmission Constraints- Alternative 1 Solutions Top Congested Paths
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10 2013 Case LMP Prices Average Annual Load LMPGeneration LMP Alternative 1- No Tx Additions Alternative 1- w/ Tx Additions
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11 2013 Case Change in Congestion/Congestion Costs with Tx Solutions Alternative 1 InterfaceLocation [Direction] Current Forward limit (MW) Current Reverse limit (MW) Opportunity cost of next $/MW % hours congested W/O Tx W/ Tx W/O Tx W/ Tx TOT 2CS.W Utah to S.E. Nevada [N – S] 300 77,80467,79140%37% Bridger WestS.W. Wyoming to S.E. Idaho & to Northwest [E – W] 2,200N/A60,978028%0% West of NaughtonS.W. Wyoming to N Utah [E – W] 920N/A39,5331,37113%0% Path CN Utah/ S Idaho [S – N]1,000 19,9093,6496%*2% Bonanza WestN.E. Utah to Central Utah [N – S] 785N/A17,65918,1778%10% SW Wyoming to Bonanza S.W. Wyoming to N.E. Utah [N – S] 200 17,60234,0189%13% Idaho to MontanaE. Idaho to W. Montana [S – N] 337 4,74123,4291%3% * Reaches seasonal capacity of 750 MW Opportunity Cost: the cost of delivering the next 1 MW of power to a particular location, or the savings from reducing load by 1 MW at that location (sometimes called shadow price)
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12 2013 Case Western Interconnect Impact for 2013 Alternative 1 Interface limitation Annual VOM ($000) Delta from Base Annual VOM ($000) Annual average LMPDelta from base annual average LMP Load ($/MWh) Generator ($/MWh) Load ($/MWh) Generator ($/MWh) w/o Transmission Additions 20,069,39949.8748.54 All interfaces unconstrained 19,825,590(243,809)49.38 (.49).84 Only internal RM interfaces are unconstrained 19,986,953(82,446)49.9649.22.09.68 With Transmission Additions 20,017,760(51,639)49.9349.15.06.61 Adjusted 2008 Base Case 24,641,0434,571,644N/A
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Rocky Mountain Area Transmission Study Alternative 2 Iteration 2
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14 2013 Case RUN 1: Reno to DJ to LRS to Cheyenne to Ault to Green Valley 345 line (TOT 3) Bridger to Midpoint 345 line via Treasureton) (Bridger West) Miners to Cheyenne 345 line and Miners 345/230 transformer (TOT 4A) Miners to Bridger 345 and Miners 345/230 transformer. 230 Midpoint to Boise RUN 2: (Add to Run 1): Reno to LRS to Ault to Green Valley 345 line (if TOT 3 still a problem) Bridger to Naughton to Ben Lomond 345 line (if Bridger West or Naughton West still a problem) RUN 3: (Add to Run 1 plus Run 2): Colstrip to Reno 345kV Colstrip: 2 - 345/230 kV Transformers to integrate generation Reno 345/230 Transformer to integrate generation Treasureton to Ben Lomond 345kV (if Path C overloaded) Loop Bridger to Midpoint at Treasureton Loop Borah Ben Lomond at Treasureton Transmission Additions – Alternative 2
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15 2013 Case Relieving Transmission Constraints Alternative 2 Solutions Top Congested Paths
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16 2013 Case LMP Prices Average Annual Load LMPGeneration LMP Alternative 2- no Tx addition Alternative 2- w/ Tx additions
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17 2013 Case InterfaceLocation [Direction] Current Forward limit (MW) Current Reverse limit (MW) Opportunity cost of next $/MW % hours congested W/O Tx W/ Tx W/O Tx W/ Tx C. Wyoming to Black Hills C. Wyoming to N.E. Wyoming [SE – NE] 332 265,61721,22084%9% TOT 3S.E. Wyoming to N.E. Colorado [N – S] 1,424N/A238,9699,21376%10% Bridger WestS.W. Wyoming to S.E. Idaho & to Northwest [E – W] 2,200N/A228,8193573%0% West of BroadviewSouth Central Montana [E – W] 2,573N/A172,68198,49951%36% West of NaughtonS.W. Wyoming to N Utah [E – W] 920N/A97,73616,13832%6% TOT 2CS.W Utah to S.E. Nevada [N – S] 300 57,83082,75931% Montana to NorthwestW. Montana to E. Washington [E – W] 2,2001,35024,36128,4938%11% Idaho to MontanaE. Idaho to W. Montana [S – N] 337 45,98226,9744%2% Change in Congestion/Congestion Costs with Tx Solutions Alternative 2
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18 2013 Case Western Interconnect Impact for 2013 Alternative 2 Interface limitationAnnu al VOM ($000 ) Delta from Base Annual VOM ($000) Annual average LMP Delta from base annual average LMP Load ($/MWh Generator ($/MWh) Load ($/MWh) Generator ($/MWh) w/o Transmission Additions 20,075,091 49.8147.54 All interfaces unconstrained 19,653,573 (421,513)49.41 (.40)1.87 Only internal RM interfaces are unconstrained 19,846,737 (228,354)49.7748.78(.04)1.24 With Transmission Additions 19,850,473 (224,618)49.8048.70(.01)1.16 Adjusted 2008 Base Case 24,641,043 4,565,952N/A
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Rocky Mountain Area Transmission Study Alternatives 3 & 4 Iteration 1
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20 2013 Case Top Congested Paths Transmission Constraints - Alternative 3 (w/o new transmission)
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21 2013 Case Transmission Congestion/Congestion Costs Alternative 3 InterfaceLocation [Direction] Forward limit (MW) Reverse limit (MW) Opportunity cost of next MW % hours congested Black Hills to C WyomingE. Wyoming to C. Wyoming [E – W] 332 274,85499% Bridger WestS.W. Wyoming to S.E. Idaho & to Northwest [E – W] 2,200N/A244,74383% PAVANT, INTRMTN - GONDER 230 KV C. Utah to C. Nevada [E – W]440235212,84060% TOT 2CS. Utah to S.E. Nevada [N – S]300 193,87346% West of BroadviewCentral Montana [E – W]2,573N/A181,72160% Montana to NorthwestW. Montana to E. Washington2,2001,350173,05171% TOT 3S.E. Wyoming to N.E. Colorado [N – S] 1,424N/A136,47050% INTERMOUNTAIN - MONA 345 KV Central Utah [W – E]1,4001,200131,12165% Idaho to MontanaE. Idaho to W. Montana [S – N]337 65,0546% TOT 2B2S. Utah to N. Arizona [N – S]26530055,14233% SW of 4 CornersS.E. Utah to N.W. New Mexico [SE – NW] 2,325N/A41,11216%
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22 2013 Case Western Interconnect Impact for 2008 Alternative 3 Interface limitation Annual VOM ($000) Delta from Base Annual VOM ($000) Annual average LMP Delta from base annual average LMP Load ($/MW) Generator ($/MW) Load ($/MW) Generator ($/MW) Base Case19,583,03448.4045.45 All interfaces unconstrained 18,297,721(1,285,313)47.65 (.75)2.20 Only internal RM interfaces are unconstrained 18,814,479(768,555)46.5545.00(1.85)(.45) 2008 Base case (Adjusted) 24,641,043(5,058,009)N/A
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23 2013 Case Top Congested Paths Transmission Constraints - Alternative 4 (w/o new transmission)
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24 2013 Case InterfaceLocation [Direction] Forward limit (MW) Reverse limit (MW) Opportunity cost of next MW % hours congested Bridger WestS.W. Wyoming to S.E. Idaho & to Northwest [E – W] 2,200N/A273,32996% Montana to NorthwestW. Montana to E. Washington2,2001,350253,68779% Black Hills to C Wyoming E. Wyoming to C. Wyoming [E – W]332 176,30279%+ TOT 2CS. Utah to S.E. Nevada [N – S]300 154,15143% West of BroadviewCentral Montana [E – W]2,573N/A130,39242% Bonanza WestE. Utah to C. Utah [E – W]785N/A120,82959% TOT 3S.E. Wyoming to N.E. Colorado [N – S] 1,424N/A102,05656% Idaho to MontanaE. Idaho to W. Montana [S – N]337 99,6778% TOT 2AS.W. Colorado [N – S]690N/A97,25350% IPP DCC. Utah to S. California [NE – SW]1,92030076,87985% TOT 1AW. Colorado to E. Utah [E – W]650N/A64,26359% West of NaughtonS.E. Wyoming to N. Utah [E – W]920N/A47,92820% SW of 4 CornersS.E. Utah to N.W. New Mexico [SE – NW] 2,325N/A36,86315% TOT 2B2S. Utah to N. Arizona [N – S]26530032,40523% Transmission Congestion/Congestion Costs Alternative 4
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25 2013 Case Western Interconnect Impact for 2008 Alternative 4 Interface limitation Annual VOM ($000) Delta from Base Annual VOM ($000) Annual average LMP Delta from base annual average LMP Load ($/MW) Generator ($/MW) Load ($/MW) Generator ($/MW) Base Case18,694,87346.8543.81 All interfaces unconstrained 16,609,281(2,085,592)45.71 (1.14)1.90 Only internal RM interfaces are unconstrained 18,136,071(558,802)45.0042.43(1.85)(1.38) 2008 Base case (Adjusted) 24,641,043(5,946,170)N/A
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