1. PewInternet.org The new education ecology Lee Rainie, Director, Pew Internet Project 11.9.11 – Sloan Consortium Orlando Email: Lrainie@pewinternet.orgLrainie@pewinternet.org Twitter: @Lrainie

2. Anti-executive summary Which textbook company stocks to buy or dump? (Who’ll do the e-books thing best?) Are students’ attention spans shorter now? Are students more narcissistic and more indifferent to privacy? “Bye, Bye Birdie” questions ???? (Or… Questions I cannot answer)

3. Broadband facilitates networked information

4. Social media aids peer-to- peer learning by doing

5. Mobile connectivity alters learning venues and expectations

6. New kinds of learners emerge

7. Digital Revolution 1 Internet (95% teens/78% adults) Broadband at home (82% teens/62% adults)

8. Source: Pew Research Center's Internet & American Life Project, April 26-May 22, 2011 Tracking Survey. N=2,277 adults 18 and older, including 755 reached via cell phone.

9. Networked creators among internet users 65% are social networking site users 55% share photos 37% contribute rankings and ratings 33% create content tags 30% share personal creations 26% post comments on sites and blogs 15% have personal website 15% are content remixers 14% are bloggers 13% use Twitter 6% location services – 9% allow location awareness from social media – 23% mapping services

10. Broadband facilitates networked information Links and multimedia Self-paced learning Analytics Pervasive media

11. Digital Revolution 2 Social networking – 50% of all adults

12. Source: Pew Research Center's Internet & American Life Project, April 26-May 22, 2011 Tracking Survey. N=2,277 adults 18 and older, including 755 reached via cell phone.

13. Source: Pew Research Center's Internet & American Life Project, October 20-November 28, 2010 Social Networking survey.

14. Social media aids peer-to- peer learning by doing Elevates DIY learning in soc.nets Increases the role of social networks in learning Facilitates rise of amateur experts Changes character of soc.nets

15. Digital Revolution 3 Mobile – 77% of teens 327.6 Total U.S. population: 315.5 million

16. 35% of adults own “smartphones”

17. Source: Pew Research Center's Internet & American Life Project, April 26-May 22, 2011 Tracking Survey. N=2,277 adults 18 and older, including 755 reached via cell phone.

18. Digital devices Millennials (18-34) Gen X (35-46) Younger Boomers (47-56) Older Boomers (57-65) Silent Generation (66-74) G.I. Generation (75+) All adults (18+) Cell phone 94%92%86%80%69%1%84% Laptop computer 71%67%56%46%34%16%57% Desktop computer 52%64%62%55%49%33%55% iPod or MP3 player 69%57%36%24%10%5%44% Game console 63% 38%19%8%3%42% e-book reader 12%14% 12%6%5%12% Tablet, like iPad 14%15%8%4%3% 11%

19. Mobile internet connectors – 63% adults

20. Source: Pew Research Center's Internet & American Life Project, April 26-May 22, 2011 Tracking Survey. N=2,277 adults 18 and older, including 755 reached via cell phone.

21. Mobile connectivity alters learning venues and expectations New access points to knowledge (AAA) Real-time sharing, just- in-time searching Augmented reality Pervasive, perpetual awareness of soc.nets Attention zones morph

22. In the midst of all this, what’s happening with online learning?

23. Good news Presidents Predict the Future of Online Learning % saying more than half of their undergraduate students have taken/will be taking an online class

24. Not-so-good news Public Views on Learning Online vs. in the Classroom In general, do you think a course taken only online provides an equal educational value compared with a course taken in person in a classroom, or not? (%)

25. College presidents weigh in Presidents’ Views on Learning Online vs. in the Classroom Generally speaking, do you believe a course taken online provides an equal educational value compared with a course taken in person in a classroom, or not? (%)

26. New kinds of learners emerge More self-directed Better arrayed to capture new info More reliant on feedback and response More inclined to collaboration More oriented towards being nodes of production

27. What is the future of learning/knowledge? -- Shana Ratner (1997) “Emerging Issues in Learning Communities” New: Learning as a process Knowledge is objective and certain Old: Learning as transaction Knowledge is subjective and provisional

28. New: Learning as a process Learners receive knowledge Old: Learning as transaction Learners create knowledge What is the future of learning/knowledge? -- Shana Ratner (1997) “Emerging Issues in Learning Communities”

29. New: Learning as a process Knowledge is organized in stable, hierarchical structures that can be treated independently of one another Old: Learning as transaction Knowledge is organized “ecologically”- disciplines are integrative and interactive What is the future of learning/knowledge? -- Shana Ratner (1997) “Emerging Issues in Learning Communities”

30. New: Learning as a process Our “intelligence” is based on our individual abilities Old: Learning as transaction Our “intelligence” is based on our learning communities What is the future of learning/knowledge? -- Shana Ratner (1997) “Emerging Issues in Learning Communities”

31. 31 The future of universities? Agree or disagree? In 2020, higher education will not be much different from the way it is today. While people will be accessing more resources in classrooms through the use of large screens, teleconferencing, and personal wireless smart devices, most universities will mostly require in- person, on-campus attendance of students most of the time at courses featuring traditional lectures. Most universities’ assessment of learning and their requirements for graduation will be about the same as they are now.

32. …. or big change is coming? Agree or disagree? By 2020, higher education will be quite different from the way it is today. There will be mass adoption of teleconferencing and distance learning to leverage expert resources. Significant numbers of learning activities will move to individualized, just-in-time learning approaches. There will be a transition to “hybrid” classes that combine online learning components with less- frequent on-campus, in-person class meetings. Most universities’ assessment of learning will take into account more individually-oriented outcomes and capacities that are relevant to subject mastery. Requirements for graduation will be significantly shifted to customized outcomes.

33. Your map is wrong

34. Thank you! Questions?