1. March /2006 Jerson Kelman Director-General ANEEL ELECTRIC SECTOR FRAMEWORK BRAZIL ENERGY OUTLOOK SEMINAR

2. 2 Brazilian Energy Matrix % in teP Brazilian Energy Matrix % in teP 2004 2015 Estimate Source: MME / BEN 2005 56.4% Non Renewable 43.6% Renewable 62.6% Non Renewable 37.4% Renewable Source: EPE

3. 3 João Pessoa Jacui Porto Alegre Florianópolis Curitiba São Paulo Rio de Janeiro Paraíba do Sul Uruguai Vitória Belo Horizonte Itaipu Grande Paranaíba Paraná/Tietê Campo Grande Iguaçu Tocantins Belém São Francisco Parnaíba São Luís Teresina Fortaleza Natal Recife Maceió Aracajú Salvador Cuiabá Goiânia Brasília Paranapanema Argentina  Installed Cap. = 92,865 MW Hydroelectric = 71,060 MW - 76.5 % Thermal = 19,798 MW - 21.3 % Nuclear = 2,007 MW - 2.2 %  Consumption Units = 56.3 million  Energy Production = 414.6 TWh/y (55% of South America)  Peak Load = 60,910 MW (United Kingdom or Italy)  HV Transmission Lines = 84,512 km Source: MME/ANEEL (Jan 2006)  Generation:85% Public sector 15% Private sector  Transmission: 26 utilities (15 private)  Distribution: 64 utilities 80% private sector Brazilian Electricity System Overview

4. 4 Brazilian Electricity Mix in TWh (2005) Source: MME / BEN 2005 / EPE 43.60 Non Renewable 291.81 Renewable

5. 5 Water Resources Use priority to the national policy on energy  Installed capacity in Brazil: 76.5% hydroelectric source  Centralized and optimized dispatch  Cost-effective operation and safety in supply  Robust transmission network  Percentage of potential hydroelectric use:

6. 6 December 2002 December 2005 SITUATION AFTER THE ENERGY CRISIS Market retraction Supply excess Self-dealing No requirement of environmental license for concessions 27.000 MW installed (1996- 2002) NEW SECTOR MODEL Take up of planning Expansion monitoring End of Self–Dealing New power plants auctions with environmental license 11.000 MW INSTALLED (2003-2005) 2006 – previsions Addition of 6.6 thousand MW Auction of 7.8 thousand MW of new power plants Electricity Generation Overview

7. 7 Energy Negotiated(MW average) 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019 MW average Existing Energy AuctionsNew Energy Auction Energy Auctions Results Source: CCEE 1,287,409,824 MWh – US$ 39,1 bi 564,600,816 MWh – US$ 29,6 bi Total 1.852,010,640 MWh – US$ 68,7 bi

8. 8 Energy Auctions Results Contracted Power Market Power Purchase Agreements Existing plants: US$ 39 bi New plants: US$ 29,6 bi Total: US$ 68,7 bi

9. 9 Generation Free Consumers Captive Consumers Free Consumers Distribution CCE**** Transmission CCE Distribution Tariff *** Service Revenue TUST** TUSD * * TUSD - * TUSD - Distribution network charge + taxes ** TUST – Distribution network charge + taxes ***Distribution Tariff – Energy + TUSD ****CCE – Power Purchase Agreement TUST TUST

10. 10 Institutional Roles of the Power Sector Policies and directives: - National Congress - National Council of Energy Policy – CNPE – approval by the President of the Republic - Chamber of Infra-structure Policies of the Government Council Planning and assurance of the balance between supply and demand: - Ministry of Mines and Energy – MME Research and studies for the planning of the energy sector - Energy Research Company - EPE Regulatory Body and Delegation of Power - Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency – ANEEL

11. 11 Institutional Roles of the Power Sector Overview, control and operation of the systems: National Operator of the Power System – ONS Monitoring and evaluation to assure the reliability and security of the supply: Electric Sector Monitoring Committee – CMSE Accounting and clearing Chamber of Commercialization of Electric Power – CCEE Execution and service delivery to the costumers: Entities G, T, D e C FOCUS: Public Interest

12. 12 ANEEL Resonable tariffs Quality of service Guarantee of rights Adequate remuneration Contracts honored Predictable and clear rules Strategic interests Development model Budget balance Universal service Consumers/society Government Agents ANEEL’s Challenge

13. 13 Federal Government Draft of Law Provisory Act National Congress Draft of Law LawLawDecreeDecree ANEELANEEL Technical Discussion Public Hearing Official Public Position of ANEEL RegulatoryRegulatory Regulatory Process Monitoring and Control Mediation

14. 14 ATTRIBUTIONS Monitoring the performance of the power sector AUDITING Where necessary - following the legal framework and specific policiesREGULATORY Guide and advise – enforce penalties when unavoidable Dispute settlementMEDIATION Delegation of authority (*) Energy auctions Auctions for new enterprises (G/T)(*) Authorization(*) (*) Delegation of authority by Federal Government, through MME, responsible to assure the supply of electricity

15. 15  Decision-making independence  Administrative, financial and property management autonomy  Directors have a 4 year mandate – nominated by the President, approved by the Senate  Directors cannot be fired without good cause  “Quarantine”(4 months)  Decisions are made by the Board of Directors (5)  No hierarchy subordination  Public Directors meeting  Regulation supported by the Law 9.784/99  Clarity, Transparency and Publicity of the Acts Characterization of ANEEL

16. 16 External control Consumer Advocate - (organized by the Civil Society)  Legislative Body Senate Public Hearings (~70) Request information National Accounting Tribunal  Judiciary ( Review of the acts )  Public Ministry  Executive Body Secretariat of Federal Control Contract Management Fulfillment of PPA goals

17. 17 Regulator’s challenges  Achieve autonomy  Skilled and adequately paid in-house staff  Reduce asymmetry of information  Completion of the new regulation model  To support and enhance energy policies, to identify improvements and to fill gaps

18. 18  To be recognized as a “State Institution” that takes care of public interest  To look for continual improvement of ANEEL  To strive for the reduction of charges and tariffs  To consolidate the process of Periodic Tariff Review (develop guidelines for the basis of cost recovery)  To guarantee the consumers rights and take care of the compliance of the obligations and the rights of agencies Regulator’s challenges

19. 19  Legal, institutional and macroeconomic stability  Environmental Licensing  Tariffs compatible with: Investments and operational costs Quality of the service Capacity of payment by the consumers Necessary factors to attract investments

20. Thank you for your attention! www.aneel.gov.br Phone: (+55) 61 2192-8603 Fax: (+55) 61 2192-8711 institucional@aneel.gov.br