1. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE DEVELOPING IN EASTERN POHNPEI STATE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BY SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AIDED BY OBSERVATIONS FROM PINGELAP IN POHNPEI STATE TO BE NEAR 6.5N 160.1E. THIS IS ABOUT 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOKIL...135 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI AND 155 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PAKIN. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL IN THE EARLY STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER. THE TRACK OF THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO TAKE IT CLOSE TO IF NOT OVER MOKIL TONIGHT AND POHNPEI AND PAKIN SOMETIME ON FRIDAY. STRONGEST WINDS ARE PRIMARILY NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE RANGE OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HEAVIEST SHOWERS LOCATED WEST OF THE CENTER. AT THIS TIME ISLANDS IN THE PATH OF THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM CAN EXPECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MPH. ISLANDS IN THE PATH OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS INCLUDE THE ISLANDS OF MOKIL...POHNPEI AND PAKIN. SEAS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS AT THIS TIME. ISLANDS OF CHUUK STATE SHOULD KEEP ADVISED ON FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

2. WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR UJAE AND ENEWETAK IN THE WESTERN MARSHALL ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AILINGLAPLAP ATOLL IN THE WESTERN MARSHALL ISLANDS.

3. Monday, Storm should pass south of Guam TS Strength Gust to the Island Monday, Storm should pass south of Guam TS Strength Gust to the Island Extended Forecast Beyond 5 days, LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY In Extended -Could Weaken and or track north away from the Philippines -If Stays South of Passing Trough Could near the Philippines as a strong Storm Extended Forecast Beyond 5 days, LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY In Extended -Could Weaken and or track north away from the Philippines -If Stays South of Passing Trough Could near the Philippines as a strong Storm 31 st -1 st Monday - Tuesday