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El Nino Southern Oscillation. Oceanic Temperatures as a Function of ENSO (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd.

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Presentation on theme: "El Nino Southern Oscillation. Oceanic Temperatures as a Function of ENSO (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd."— Presentation transcript:

1 El Nino Southern Oscillation

2 Oceanic Temperatures as a Function of ENSO (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.) Warm west, cold east Warm everywhere, but particularly in the central Pacific Warming erodes everywhere in response to upwelling

3 Oceanic Temperatures as a Function of ENSO (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

4 Oceanic Temperatures as a Function of ENSO (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

5 Oceanic Temperatures as a Function of ENSO (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

6 Southern Oscillation Index (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.) p diff = p(Tahiti) – p(Darwin)

7 Southern Oscillation Index (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.) El Nino: Warmer at Tahiti -> Lower SLP -> Negative SOI La Nina: Cooler at Tahiti -> Higher SLP -> Positive SOI

8 ENSO Monitoring Regions (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

9 Walker Circulation During La Nina Events (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.) Enhanced heating drives enhanced ascent Enhanced cooling drives enhanced descent

10 Walker Circulation During El Nino Events (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.) Enhanced heating drives enhanced ascent Weakened cooling drives substantially weakened descent

11 El Nino and the Australian Monsoon (Figure obtained from Ch. 3 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

12 El Niño and W. Hemisphere Hurricanes (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

13 NH Winter Impacts of El Niño (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

14 NH Summer Impacts of El Niño (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

15 NH Winter Impacts of La Niña (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

16 NH Summer Impacts of La Niña (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

17 Northern Hemispheric Pattern Modulation by ENSO (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

18 Delayed Oscillator Theory (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

19 Delayed Oscillator Theory (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

20 Western Pacific Oscillator Theory (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

21 Dynamical Model Forecasts of ENSO (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)

22 Statistical Model Forecasts of ENSO (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd Edition. © 2011, COMET.)


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