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Overview of Geologic Hazards From earth movement (earthquakes, mudflows, landslides, subsidence, expansive soils) From water movement ( coastal flooding from hurricanes, beach erosion, inland flooding, drought) From dangerous minerals (arsenic, asbestos, radon) From contaminated water (groundwater, surface water, distribution system water)
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Magnitude and Frequency
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Overview of Geologic Hazards From earth movement (earthquakes, mudflows, landslides, subsidence, expansive soils) From water movement ( coastal flooding from hurricanes, beach erosion, inland flooding, drought) From dangerous minerals (arsenic, asbestos, radon) From contaminated water (groundwater, surface water, distribution system water)
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Earth Movement
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Earthquakes
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Earthquake Susceptibility: Risk is not evenly distributed
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Earthquakes-- Frequency MagnitudeAcceleration# per year 8-91 7-818 6-7120 5-6800 4-56200 3-450,000 Ohio World-wide
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Remediation 1.Construction: Building codes 2.Zoning: Avoiding loose fill 3.First-responder training
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Volcanoes
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Volcano Hazards -- Lahars
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Lahars – magnitude (extent)
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Lahars – magnitude (thickness)
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Lahars – frequency
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Landslides USGS estimates 25-50 fatalities per year $1.6 – 3.2 billion in direct and indirect losses per year
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Landslide magnitude Cincinnati OH: remediation of landslides on public property 1974-1993Feet/yrDollars/yr Pier walls442 $457,780 Mt Adams1650$44,489,926
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Landslide frequency Cinti OH: landslides on public property
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Landslide frequency Cinti OH: landslides on public property
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Remediation Pier walls - $1000 per lineal foot
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Subsidence
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LA sinkhole (salt dissolution )
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Overview of Geologic Hazards From earth movement (earthquakes, mudflows, landslides, subsidence, expansive soils) From water movement ( coastal flooding from hurricanes, beach erosion, inland flooding, drought) From dangerous minerals (arsenic, asbestos, radon) From contaminated water (groundwater, surface water, distribution system water)
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Coastal Flooding
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Living in harm’s way – behind the levee
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Storm moves 30 mph Wind speed 120 mph Net 150 mph Net 90 mph Hurricanes
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Katrina20051836+ (Mississippi, Louisiana) Katrina2005$100 billion (Mississippi, Louisiana)
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Property Damage Costliest U.S. Atlantic hurricanes Cost refers to total estimated property damage RankHurricaneSeasonDamages, $billion 2 Ike2008 $29.5 1Katrina 2005 $108 4 Wilma2005 $21 7 Rita2005 $12 5 Ivan2004 $18.8 6 Charley2004 $15.1 8 Frances2004 $9.51 10 Jeanne2004 $7.66 9 Allison2001 $9 3 Andrew1992 $26.5 Source: NOAA[2]
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Katrina: Fatalities > 1800
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Levee design and construction inadequate
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Geologic Changes – New Inlet
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Hurricane Magnitude Saffir-Simpson scale IntensityWind speed mphStorm surge ft Category 174-954-5 Category 296 to 1106-8 Category 3111 to 1309-12 Category 4131-15513-18 Category 5> 155> 18
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Hurricane Magnitude - Frequency Saffir-Simpson scale IntensityWind speed mphStorm surge ftNumber 1850-2005 Category 174-954-5 109 Category 296 to 1106-8 71 Category 3111 to 1309-12 74 Category 4131-15513-18 17 Category 5> 155> 18 3
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Hurricane Frequency
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Hurricane Cyclicity Long-term trend
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Remediation 1.Building codes 2.Levees 3.Evacuation Evacuation
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Inland Flooding --Cinti 1937 385 dead, one million homeless, $500 million in property damage (= $7.6 billion today)
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Flood intensity – gage height
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Flood Frequency (Cinti)
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Remediation Flood wall Barrier dam
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Beach Erosion Longshore drift
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Beach Erosion -- Intensity
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Beach Erosion -- Frequency
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Beach Erosion -- Remediation Walls
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Beach Erosion -- Remediation Nourishment
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Overview of Geologic Hazards From earth movement (earthquakes, mudflows, landslides, subsidence, expansive soils) From water movement ( coastal flooding from hurricanes, beach erosion, inland flooding, drought) From dangerous minerals (arsenic, asbestos, radon) From contaminated water (groundwater, surface water, distribution system water)
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Dangerous minerals – Pb phosphate
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Occurrence of Arsenic in Groundwater in US SW Ohio
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Radon – enters home from soil
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Overview of Geologic Hazards From earth movement (earthquakes, mudflows, landslides, subsidence, expansive soils) From water movement ( coastal flooding from hurricanes, beach erosion, inland flooding, drought) From dangerous minerals (arsenic, asbestos, radon) From contaminated water (groundwater, surface water, distribution system water)
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Contaminated water
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Water Pollution – Inorganics in Groundwater GW flow
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Significant solvent contamination has traveled through the groundwater outside the plant boundaries at Pristine. flow Water flow Water Pollution – Organics in Groundwater
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Water Pollution – Magnitude
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Water Pollution -- Surface Water GCWW intakes Proposed sewer outfall
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Cryptosporidium
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Water Pollution – From the distribution system Litharge Cu sulfate Mn oxide Plattnerite Litharge Cu sulfate Mn oxide Plattnerite + Mn oxide Pb carbonate
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Water Pollution – From the distribution system
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Pb islands
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What do we do? 1.Understand the underlying geology 2.Calculate probability of an event 3.Estimate the severity of possible effects 4.Establish risk to populations & environment
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What do we do? 5. Reducing the risk A.Avoidance B.Building codes C.Evacuation plans D.Removal of endangered structures E.Protective engineering
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