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Published byBernadette O’Neal’ Modified over 9 years ago
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Oilseed markets situation 2005-2006 IOPD IX June 16-17,2006 San Francisco
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Continuous increase in world consumption, driven by Asian demand Asia-EU-North America : 80% of world oilseeds consumption
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Chinese imports of soybean and products: nearly 10% annual increase since 1995 Asia-EU : close to 80% of world soya imports
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Oilseeds world production Ü Soybean accounts for about 60% of oilseeds production
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World oiseeds production: still above the long term trend in 2005/06 (+ 5 %) +17 Mn T
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All oilseeds: +2% to +3% Soybeans: limited increase Other oilseeds: supply remains at a high level World oilseeds production: slight increase in 2005/06 after a jump in 2004/05
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Soybean gets closer to the long term trend, the other oilseeds remain significantly above trend +13 Mn T Others Soybean
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US soybeans: relative stability of areas, abundant crops in 04/05 and 05/06 thanks to good yields
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South America: increase in soybean areas is slowing down from 2005/06, in particular in Brazil
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Soybean: a new supply/demand balance shaping up for 2006/07
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Rapeseed: high but stable production in Europe, increasing supply on the world market
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Rapeseed: increasing areas
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Rapeseed - EU 25: more than 15 Mn T production for the second year 5 countries represent 90% of EU production in 2005
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Rapeseed: 2004 and 2005 yields in the major EU producing countries
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Rapeseed: favorable perspectives with increasing crushing capacities CRUSHINGPRODUCTION
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Rapeseed – EU 25: Utilisations becoming higher than production
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Sunflower: world production Significant increase in production, with the help of good yields, in Russia/Ukraine Production around 4 Mn T in the EU-25 since 1999
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Sunflower: world areas Area increase in Russia/Ukraine Decrease in the EU 25, with 2 MnHa
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Palm oil: increasing production and growing share of Indonesia
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Vegetable oils: world consumption is in progress, rape oil takes a growing part with biodiesel since 2002/03
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EU : consumption increases for all oils, more pronouncedly for rapeseed and palm oils
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EU: strong growth in rapeseed oil demand, on the account of biofuels
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EU becoming a net importer of rapeseed and soybean oils Increasing utilisations of rapeseed oil Decreasing crushings (and imports) of soybeans, while soybean oil consumption increases
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Oilmeal prices in dollars slightly under long term average
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Vegetable oils prices slightly above long term average on the world market average prices 1986-2005
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Oils in Europe: reinforced premium for rapeseed, driven by biodiesel, large world supplies bearing on sunflower
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Soybeans: also at a relatively low price
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Rapeseed: the price has been penalised by a deficit of crushing capacity (and by the exchange rate in EU) average prices 1986-2005
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Sunflowerseed: the price has been penalised by ample world supplies (and by the exchange rate in EU) average prices 1986-2005
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