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The Data Have Spoken: Climate Model Forecasts Have Failed Dr. Roy W. Spencer Principal Research Scientist The University of Alabama in Huntsville 30 October.

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Presentation on theme: "The Data Have Spoken: Climate Model Forecasts Have Failed Dr. Roy W. Spencer Principal Research Scientist The University of Alabama in Huntsville 30 October."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Data Have Spoken: Climate Model Forecasts Have Failed Dr. Roy W. Spencer Principal Research Scientist The University of Alabama in Huntsville 30 October 2015

2 Global Tropospheric Temperatures Monitored since 1979 with satellites by two separate research groups (UAH, RSS)

3 Climate Models Over-Forecast Global Warming when compared to all 3 types of temperature data (satellites, radiosondes, near-surface thermometers)

4 The Model Failures Extend to Regional Predictions e.g. the U.S. CORN BELT …this then leads to exaggerated projections of climate change impacts on agricultural yields.

5 Conclusion It is difficult to base energy policy (e.g. the Social Cost of Carbon) on models which are demonstrably wrong in their predictions.


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