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Budget Update: Where We Stand Eva DeLuna Castro Senior Budget Analyst Center for Public Policy Priorities May 13, 2011
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What’s the solution when ideology doesn’t match reality?
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Budget instructions to state agencies (May 2010) Agency requests go to LBB & Governor’s Office (August) Public hearings before LBB/Gov. (Sept./Oct. 2010) Governor’s Budget Proposal LBB Budget Proposal Comptroller’s Revenue Estimate Before the 82 nd Session Started… With a few exceptions: 2012- 13 “base” = amount of GR and GR-Dedicated Funds that agency spends in 2010-11, minus 5% Four-fifths vote to override
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Committees named Senate Finance (budget and taxes) Public hearings (6 subcommittees) Mark-up House Appropriations (budget bills) Public hearings (5 subcommittees) Mark-up Committee version to full Senate (up or down vote, Article XI) Committee version to full House (floor amendments, Article XI) Conference committee on budget Legislative Process (82 nd ) Ways & Means: taxes
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Conference committee report to House and Senate SenateHouse To Comptroller for certification To Governor for vetoes To state agencies (operating budgets) Final Legislative/Executive Process Two-thirds vote to override (if still in session)
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General Revenue Shortfall, Budget Approved by the House Requested GR Proposed GR, HB 1 General Revenue Shortfall HHS$ 31.0 b$ 22.0 b- $9.0 b-29% Education 56.4 b 43.6 b - 12.8 b-23% Criminal Justice 9.2 b 7.8 b - 1.4 b-15% The rest 6.2 b 4.2 b - 2.0 b-32% TOTAL$102.8 billion$ 77.6 billion- $ 25.2 billion-25%
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GR Shortfall, Senate Budget Requested GR Proposed GR, HB 1 General Revenue Shortfall HHS$ 31.0 b$ 22.3 b- $8.7 b-28% Education 56.4 b 49.1 b - 7.3 b-13% Criminal Justice 9.2 b 8.4 b - 0.8 b- 9% The rest 6.2 b 4.4 b - 1.8 b-3% TOTAL$102.8 billion$ 83.8 billion*- $ 19 billion-18% *Includes $2 b Foundation School Program delayed payment
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“Worst Case” Children’s Budget
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Inflation-Adjusted Spending Per Student
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Doctors Taking Medicaid Patients, 2010
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Dallas County Impacts (biennial) School Finance Changes: SB 22: $384 million reduction vs. current law. Enough to fund 4,700 ISD jobs, with private-sector impact of 6,600 jobs. House plan is twice as bad, plus $45 million lost in preK-12 grants. Health & Human Services: Senate reduces funding by $773 million, 12% less than is being spent in 2010-11. Current services requires $1.8 billion more (of which $1.1 billion is federal funds)
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Texas Needs A Balanced Approach to Balancing the Budget
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Use the Rainy Day Fund Utilize All Federal Funds Available to Us Find New Sources of Revenue How Can Texas Close the Revenue Gap?
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Alternatives to Cuts School Aid Deferral (not in HB 1) $2 billion Federal stimulus for education $0.8 billion HB 3640: Tax Speed-Ups $1 billion Use Rest of Rainy Day Fund $6.3 billion TOTAL $10 billion (HB 1 already assumes $100 million+ in fee increases, plus tuition hikes)
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Longer-Term Solutions Apply Sales Tax to Services $5 billion Repeal high-cost natural gas tax break $2 billion “Healthy Texas” taxes $3.5 billion Hospital quality assurance fee $350 million TOTAL $11 billion
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www.txforward.org
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Let’s examine our priorities
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Let’s make sure Texas’ story is NOT about shortchanging our kids.
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CPPP Resources Research: www.cppp.orgwww.cppp.org Online data: www.stateoftexaschildren.orgwww.stateoftexaschildren.org Mobile data: www.tkcmobile.orgwww.tkcmobile.org Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/#!/bettertexas http://www.facebook.com/#!/bettertexas YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/user/CPPPvideo http://www.youtube.com/user/CPPPvideo Twitter: CPPP_TX
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