1. 1 Arctic Science: Interdisciplinary Research Opportunities for the Social Sciences Jack Kruse, Marie Lowe, Larry Hamilton HARC Workshop October 5, 2007

2. 2 SEARCH Science Questions  Is the Arctic moving to a new state?  How do cultural and socioeconomic systems interact with arctic environmental change?

3. 3 HD-Implementation Priorities  Develop an integrated observation network for identification and long-term monitoring of social and economic indicators of human subsystem changes that drive and/or feed back to arctic physical and biological system changes for identification and long-term monitoring of social and economic indicators of human subsystem changes that drive and/or feed back to arctic physical and biological system changes  Synthesize human dimensions data on a pan- arctic scale including data on resident socioeconomic changes, human perceptions of arctic change, and on local and global-scale development and industrial activities including data on resident socioeconomic changes, human perceptions of arctic change, and on local and global-scale development and industrial activities

4. 4 Key groundwork priorities  Identify specific ways to improve knowledge of arctic environmental change such that people are enabled to make better- informed decisions such that people are enabled to make better- informed decisions  Identify predictions that will be most useful to stakeholder groups planning for and responding to change in areas such as fisheries, marine transportation and development, and renewable resource use/subsistence harvests planning for and responding to change in areas such as fisheries, marine transportation and development, and renewable resource use/subsistence harvests

5. 5 Human Dimension of Change  Local infrastructure, transportation  Subsistence activities  Coastal erosion  Storm patterns  Shipping routes  Fisheries

6. 6 Fisheries Resource Development Social Outcomes Marine Mammal Hunting Tourism Focal Areas for Climate- Human Interactions

7. 7

8. 8 Place-Time Data Collection

9. 9 SEARCH-HD Q Variables Existing data: 1980 to present

10. 10 Database Development  Prototype currently under construction using Bering Sea fisheries data between 1980-2006 for: 1. Salmon (Chum) 2. Red King Crab 3. Herring 4. Pollock

11. 11 Example Datasets  NOAA and Alaska Fish and Game catch, price, and value data  Alaska Commercial Fisheries Entry Commission: municipal level data on fisheries participation and earnings.  Alaska Department of Labor: population.

12. 12 Data Analysis: STATA

13. 13 AON-HD Q Database ELOKA Database Arctic-RIMS Database AON Database Database Relationships

14. 14 Project Team Fisheries Gunnar Knapp (Alaska) Jahn Petter Johnsen (Norway) Thijs Christiaan van Son (Norway) Marine Mammals John Bengtson (Washington) Rasmus Rasmussen (Denmark) Jack Kruse (Alaska) Resource Development Sharman Haley (Alaska) Rasmus Rasmussen (Denmark) Tourism Steve Colt (Alaska) Anna Karlsdöttir (Iceland) Social Outcomes Larry Hamilton (New Hampshire) Per Lyster (Greenland) Gerard Duhaime (Canada) Modeling Matt Berman (Alaska) Stakeholder Direction Ed Ward (Alaska) Brian Lyall (Canada) Larissa Abryutina (Russia) Kristina Lasko (Sweden) Bob Harcharek (Alaska) Charles Dorais (Canada) Simon Routh (Canada) Post-Doc Marie Lowe (Alaska) GIS Meghan Wilson (Alaska)

15. 15 How to contact us and learn more about the project  www.SEARCH-HD.NET www.SEARCH-HD.NET  Lead Contacts: Jack Kruse afjak@uaa.alaska.edu  Marie Lowe afmel@uaa.alaska.edu afmel@uaa.alaska.edu

16. 16 Arctic Social Science: Agenda for Action Arctic Social Science Program Arctic System Science Methods & Models for Integrated Assessment HARC Ocean-Atmosphere- Ice Interactions SEARCH NOAA & other agencies AONLand-Atmosphere- Ice Interactions Arctic Social Indicators SLiCA Sustainability of Arctic Communities SEARCH-HD Q Rangifer Systems SNACS Bowhead