1. AFTER THE COLD WAR: FROM GEOPOLITICS TO GEOECONOMICS

2. REQUIRED READING Smith, Talons, chs. 9-10

3. AFTER THE COLD WAR: THE GLOBAL ARENA 1. Collapse of the Soviet Union 2. U.S. military primacy: the “unipolar moment” 3. Economic multipolarity: Europe, Japan, others? 4. Transnationalization and non-state actors 5. A “third wave” of democratization?

4. DIMENSIONS OF UNCERTAINTY Distributions of power: the “layer cake” model Military = unipolar Economic = tripolar Interdependence = diffusion Hesitancy in the United States

5. ON “GLOBALIZATION” Factors: – End of Cold War=reduction of political barriers – Communication technologies – Transnational enterprises: production chains and consumer markets – Movement of people and goods, legal and illegal Features: – Inexorability, inevitability – Politics the result of economics – Inclusion vs. exclusion? – Claim: no ideology

6. THE 1990s: GEOECONOMICS AND “INTERMESTIC” ISSUES Ideological consensus (or “end of history”?) Implausibility of revolution Fragmentation of “Third World” The rise of “intermestic” issues: – Free trade – Drugs and drug “wars” – Immigration

7. GEO-ECONOMICS: RULES OF THE GAME (i) 1. Presumably “peaceful” competition 2, Positive-sum, not zero- or negative-sum 3, Goal: increase or guarantee share of economic benefits—without destroying (or even defeating) rivals 4. Repeated iterations 5. Strategy: Maintenance of global “stability” 6. Tactic: formation of “open” blocs

8. RULES OF GAME (ii) Competitive arenas:  Consumer markets, natural resources (energy, water, etc.)  Technology  Financial markets State roles:  Direct participation  Shaping of incentives  Legitimacy on basis of “market discourse” Regional integration:  Strong seek to perpetuate primacy  Weak seek to avoid exclusion  Thus asymmetrical bargaining  Hub-and-spoke configurations