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Is there evidence to justify different claims for different drug classes? Presentation to: Cardiovascular & Renal Drugs Advisory Committee Food & Drug Administration Rockville MD, June 15, 2005 Stephen W. MacMahon, B.Sc., Ph.D., M.P.H., F.A.C.C.
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Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists’ Collaboration 1995-2005 Secretariat: The George Institute, University of Sydney & Royal Prince Alfred Hospital Principal sponsor: National Health & Medical Research Council of Australia
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1 st cycle published Lancet 2000; 355:1955-64 2 nd cycle published Lancet 2003; 362:1527-35 29 randomised trials 162,341 patients More than 700,000 patient years Analysis cycles
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Active vs. control ACE-I vs placebo CA vs placebo More intensive vs less intensive ARB vs. other regimen Active vs. active ACE-I vs diuretic/beta-blocker* CA vs diuretic/beta-blocker* ACE-I vs CA Treatment comparisons
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Active vs. control ACE-I vs placebo CA vs placebo More intensive vs less intensive ARB vs. other regimen Active vs. active ACE-I vs diuretic/beta-blocker* CA vs diuretic/beta-blocker* ACE-I vs CA Treatment comparisons
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Most trials compared treatment regimens rather single drugs Regimens were usually based on a specific agent with the addition of others as required for BP control In active vs. active comparisons, the control condition was pre-specified as diuretic- or beta-blocker-based therapy (mostly diuretic) Treatment comparisons
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ACE inhibitor vs. diuretic/beta-blocker Total participants Major events AASK877NA ALLHAT243091195 ANBP26083509 CAPPP10985698 STOP-24418897 UKPDS-HDS758141 Total474306031
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Calcium antagonist vs. diuretic/beta-blocker Total participants Major events AASK658NA ALLHAT243033704 CONVINCE16476729 ELSA233460 INSIGHT6321407 NICS-EH23923 NORDIL10881803 SHELL1882172 STOP-24409910 VHAS141429 Total684496837
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ACE inhibitor vs. calcium antagonist Total participants Major events AASK653NA ABCD (H)47075 ABCD (N)48076 ALLHAT181022838 JMIC-B165088 STOP-24401887 Total257563964
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RR (95% CI) Favours first listed Favours second listed 0.51.02.0 Relative Risk BP difference (mm Hg) 1.09 (1.00,1.18) ACE vs. D/BB 0.93 (0.86,1.00) CA vs. D/BB 1.12 (1.01,1.25) ACE vs. CA 2/0 1/0 1/1 Active vs. active Stroke
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RR (95% CI) Favours first listed Favours second listed BP difference (mm Hg) 0.51.02.0 Relative Risk 0.96 (0.88,1.04) 1.01 (0.94,1.08) 0.98 (0.91,1.05) ACE vs. CA CA vs. D/BB ACE vs. D/BB 2/0 1/0 1/1 Active vs. active Coronary heart disease
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RR (95% CI) Favours first listed Favours second listed BP difference (mm Hg) 0.51.02.0 Relative Risk 1.07 (0.96,1.19) ACE vs. CA CA vs. D/BB ACE vs. D/BB 1.33 (1.21,1.47) 0.82 (0.73,0.92) 2/0 1/0 1/1 Active vs. active Heart failure
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RR (95% CI) Favours first listed Favours second listed BP difference (mm Hg) 0.51.02.0 Relative Risk ACE vs. CA CA vs. D/BB ACE vs. D/BB 0.97 (0.92,1.03) 1.04 (1.00,1.09) 1.02 (0.98,1.07) 2/0 1/0 1/1 Active vs. active Composite major CVD events
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Active vs. active Composite major CVD events (diabetes subgroups) Risk ratio 0.250.512 0.90 (0.74,1.11) 1.04 (0.98,1.04) 1.02 (0.95,1.10) 1.04 (0.99,1.10) 0.92 (0.79,1.07) 0.99 (0.92,1.07) p homog =0.20 p homog =0.83 p homog =0.37 2.2/0.3 1.4/0.2 ACE-I vs. D/BB Diabetes No diabetes CA vs. D/BB Diabetes No diabetes ACE-I vs. CA Diabetes No diabetes BP ( mmHg ) RR(95%CI) Favours first listed Favours second listed 0.7/-0.8 1.1/-0.4 1.6/1.2 1.3/0.9 Overall Arch Int Med 2005: in press
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0.250.512 Major CVD Diabetes No diabetes 0.90 (0.82,0.99) 0.90 (0.81,1.00) -2.1/-0.9 -1.4/-0.6 p homog=0.94 CV deaths Diabetes No diabetes 0.99 (0.77,1.28) 0.95 (0.81,1.12) -2.1/-0.9 -1.4/-0.6 p homog=0.79 Total mortality Diabetes No diabetes -2.1/-0.9 -1.4/-0.6 0.91 (0.75,1.10) 0.97 (0.86,1.09) p homog=0.55 ARB-based regimens vs. others Composite outcomes (diabetes subgroups) BP (mmHg) RR(95%CI) Favours ARB Favours Other Overall Arch Int Med 2005: in press
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Calcium antagonist and D/BB-based regimens may be more effective than ACE inhibitors for stroke prevention ACE inhibitors and D/BB regimens are more effective than CA-based regimens for heart failure prevention No differences between regimens in effects on coronary heart disease Conclusions
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For total cardiovascular events, there were very similar effects of: ACE inhibitor- calcium antagonist- D/BB-based regimens ARB-based regimens also reduced total CV events Effects of all drug classes similar in diabetic and non-diabetic patients Conclusions
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Independent drug effects? Primary focus of debate for past decade, with no consensus Main hypothesis concerns potential advantages of agents that inhibit the renin angiotensin system Do ACE inhibitors and angiotensin receptor blockers confer benefits “beyond blood pressure reduction”
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Effects of RAS inhibitors In trials of active vs. active regimens No clear advantage of ACE inhibitor-based regimens compared with D/BB-based regimens But moderate differences between regimens in BP lowering effects In trials of ARB-based regimens Uncertainty as to whether benefits are greater than those expected given the reduction in BP
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Effects of RAS inhibitors New analysis Effects of ACE-I and ARB-based regimen vs. any other comparator Stratified by BP differences between randomized groups Cause-specific outcomes: stroke, coronary heart disease, heart failure* *trials with calcium antagonist control treatment excluded from heart failure analyses, given clear evidence of differential effect of these agents
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"This slide contains unpublished data. If you have any questions regarding these data, please contact Stephen W. MacMahon, B.Sc., Ph.D., M.P.H., F.A.C.C., Principal Director, Professor of Cardiovascular Medicine and Epidemiology, The George Institute for International Health, The University of Sydney."
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Conclusions For all regimens, size of BP reduction directly related to size of risk reduction For coronary heart disease, BP- independent effect of ACE inhibitor- based regimens (about 10%) For stroke and heart failure, no clear evidence of BP-independent effects of either ACE-I or ARB-based regimens
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Conclusions In active vs. active comparisons, the independent effect of ACE-I-based regimens was obscured by weaker BP lowering properties Because of this practical limitation, therapeutic relevance is uncertain Combination therapy with an ACE inhibitor and other BP lowering agents may offer greatest protection
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Acknowledgements Coordinating center staff: –Fiona Turnbull MD MPH –Bruce Neal MD PhD MRCP –Charles Algert MPH –Mark Woodward PhD CStat –John Chalmers MD PhD FRACP
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