1. Principles of Macroeconomics Lecture 2 CONSUMPTION AND INVESTMENT BUSINESS CYCLES AND AGGREGATE DEMAND

2. PART 1: CONSUMPTION AND INVESTMENT

3. Aims of Part 1 - To explain the concepts of consumption, saving and investment and their attributes - To explain the importance of these three concepts for the output of an economy

4. WHAT IS CONSUMPTION? -Consumption is spending on final goods and services bought for the satisfaction gained or needs met by their use -It is the largest single component of GDP

5. What are the major components of consumption? -Housing -Food -Motor vehicles -Medical care -Entertainment and recreation

6. How is consumption related to income? Saving €20,000

7. How is consumption related to income? When income increases, saving increases more than consumption €20,000 €22,000

8. MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO CONSUME (MPC) -The amount of extra consumption generated by an extra monetary unit of disposable income - In graphic terms it is expressed by the slope of the consumption function

9. DISPOSABLE INCOME CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES A B C D E F G C DI 45 0 CONSUMPTION FUNCTION........ Z MPC = CZ / BZ

10. MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO CONSUME (MPC) - As Disposable Income increases, consumption increases as well but with a diminishing pace for each additional monetary unit of disposable income - In graphic terms it is expressed by the slope of the consumption function

11. MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO SAVE (MPS) -The amount of extra saving generated by an extra monetary unit of disposable income - In graphic terms it is expressed by the slope of the savings function - It holds that MPS = 1 - MPC

12. DETERMINANTS OF CONSUMPTION - Current Disposable Income: It has been empirically established that the course of consumption follows the course of disposable income - Long run income trends: People choose their consumption levels looking at both their current income and the prospects for their future income - Wealth: Accumulated wealth plays a key role in determining the level of consumption

13. DISPOSABLE INCOME ($blns) CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES ($blns) FITTED CONSUMPTION FUNCTION 6,0003,000 6,000 C C 1996 1990 1980 1970 A Consumption Function for the United States, 1966-1996

14. What is investment? In macroeconomics, investment is defined as the additions to the stock of productive assets of an economy.

15. What is investment? Additions to the stock of productive assets of an economy are considered to be capital goods such as equipment, structures and changes in stocks.

16. Determinants of investment - Revenues: Investment depends upon the revenues that will be generated by the state of overall economic activity - Costs: Investment depends upon its cost: the price of the capital good and the interest rate - Expectations: Investment is very sensitive in expectations and business confidence

17. Determinants of investment

18. Demand for investment curve

19. Shifts in the investment demand curve

20. PART 2: BUSINESS CYCLES AND AGGREGATE DEMAND

21. Aims of Part 2 - To describe the short-term fluctuations in output, employment and prices that characterize business cycles in market economies - To explain the concept of aggregate demand and the differences from a single commodity demand

22. Business Cycles -are swings in total national output, income and employment, - are marked by widespread expansion or contraction in many sectors of the economy, -occur in all advanced market economies, and - consist of four phases.

23. The Business Cycles Theory

24. Business Cycles Phases and Turning Points PHASES -Expansion: A period in which GDP increases for two consecutive quarters -Recession: A period in which GDP declines for two consecutive quarters TURNING POINTS - Peak: The highest point of the expansion phase - Trough: The lowest point of recession phase

25. Business Cycles Phases - Characteristics of Expansion: - Consumption rises - Business inventories decrease - Production is increased - Real GDP rises - Business investment rises - Labour demand increases and unemployment falls - Inflation becomes high - Interest rate rises

26. Business Cycles Phases - Characteristics of Recession: - Consumption falls sharply - Business inventories increase - Production is reduced - Real GDP falls - Business investment falls - Labour demand falls and unemployment rises - Inflation slows - Interest rate falls

27. Definition of Aggregate Demand - Aggregate Demand (AD) is the total or aggregate quantity of output that is willingly bought at a given level of prices - It has four components: - Consumption - Investment - Government Purchases - Net Exports - Remember the GDP equation : Y= C+I+G+ (X-M)

28. Differences of AD with the micro demand - AD curves relate overall spending on all components of output to the overall price level - AD is downward sloping mainly due to the money-supply effect. That is when a rise in the price level occurs, the real money supply is reduced (all others held constant). Thus interest rates rise, credit is difficult to obtain and total real spending falls.

29. The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve

30. Factors affecting Aggregate Demand -Monetary and fiscal policy -Exogenous variables such as foreign economic activity, technological advances and shifts in asset markets - Changing these variables shifts the AD curve

31. Movements and Shifts in AD

32. Factors affecting Aggregate Demand Key things to remember: -A change at the price level leads to a MOVEMENT along the AD curve - A change in other underlying factors of AD leads to a SHIFT of the AD curve

33. Helpful reading Economics. Samuelson, & Nordhaus (2005) Ch. 22-23