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FORCE STRUCTURE ANALYSIS Lockheed Martin Aeronautics Elissa M. Bryan.

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Presentation on theme: "FORCE STRUCTURE ANALYSIS Lockheed Martin Aeronautics Elissa M. Bryan."— Presentation transcript:

1 FORCE STRUCTURE ANALYSIS Lockheed Martin Aeronautics Elissa M. Bryan

2 AGENDA  Overview  Analysis of Problem  Description of Model  Analysis and Interpretation  Applications 2

3 OVERVIEW

4 FORCE STRUCTURE ANALYSIS “Which Aircraft, Which Target, with What Weapons?” 4

5 WHY IT MATTERS  $12k - $15k / Sortie (4 th Generation Fighter)  Hostile Combat Zones  Decreased Risk of Aircraft Loss  Decreased Risk of Human Loss 5

6 ANALYSIS OF PROBLEM

7 DATA SETS  Aircraft Type  Tough, Good, Better, Best  Weapon Load-Out  Rocket, Small, Medium, Large  Target Type  Soft, Medium, Hard, Very Hard 7

8 THE CHALLENGE  Comprehensive Model  Can Multiple Objectives Be Integrated?  Are the Results Realistic?  How Does This Affect Run-Time?  Balanced Resource Allocation:  Are Resources Being Ignored?  Are Resources Used to the Best of Their Ability? 8

9 DESCRIPTION OF MODEL

10 MODEL DESCRIPTION  Mixed Integer Program  514 Variables  114 Constraints  Multiple Objective Functions 10

11 CONSTRAINTS  Available Sorties  Expected Kills Per Sortie (EKS)  Available Weapons 11

12 OPTIMIZATION  Minimizing Days in Combat Campaign  Minimizing Deviation from Target Requirements 12

13 ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION

14 BINARY CUT  10 Days: Success  5 Days: Failure  8 Days: Success  7 Days Failure  Minimum: 8 Days 14

15 SUCCESS RATE OVER TIME 15

16 EFFICIENCY FRONTIER 16

17 APPLICATION  Acquisition  Combat Analysis / Planning  Force Structure / Size Do Different Decision Makers Value Different Variables? 17

18 WRAPPING UP

19 SUMMARY  Force Structure Analysis  Analysis of Problem  Description of Model  Analysis and Interpretation  Applications 19

20 QUESTIONS? Thank you for your time!


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