1. Climate Change: An Inter-disciplinary Approach to Problem Solving (AOSS 480 // NRE 480) Richard B. Rood Cell: 301-526-8572 2525 Space Research Building (North Campus) rbrood@umich.edu http://aoss.engin.umich.edu/people/rbrood Winter 2015 Class 1, January 8, 2014

2. Class Information and News Ctools site: AOSS_SNRE_480_001_W15AOSS_SNRE_480_001_W15 –Record of course Rood’s Class MediaWiki SiteClass MediaWiki Site –http://climateknowledge.org/classes/index.php/Climate_Change:_The_Move_to_Actionhttp://climateknowledge.org/classes/index.php/Climate_Change:_The_Move_to_Action

3. Today Who are we? Course Description Overview Some Questions and Discussion Glimpse in the Climate Change Problem

4. Who Am I? Richard (Ricky) Rood, Department Atmospheric, Ocean and Space Sciences (Engineering) with an appointment in Natural Resources and Environment –Current research – improving the use of knowledge about climate change in policy and planning –Advisor AOSS Masters of Engineering in Applied Climate and undergraduate degree in Climate Impacts Engineering –Scientist and manager at NASA publishing in ozone modeling, climate modeling, data analysis, high-performance computing. –Worked on multi-agency strategies for climate modeling and addressing the interface between the science of climate change and the use of climate information by stakeholders. –Wunderground.com “expert” blogger Teaching this course for the ninth time. Teaching, overseeing projects in several other courses

5. Who are we? Name: Major or Interest: Any particular reason you wanted to take this course. Where do you get your news?

6. From Course Description This is not a math-oriented course Identify the important elements of science, policy, economics, public health, etc. –Where should we pay attention? –What do we know versus what do we believe? Identify and map the interactions between these elements and connections to other external elements –How big is the problem? How is all of this changing?

7. Strategic Syllabus –Science of climate change –Responses to scientific knowledge –Structured approach to complex problem solving What are the elements of successful application of science-based knowledge in planning, management, government, corporations, etc.

8. Readings, Class Participation, Response Readings and Participation –I and guest lecturers will assign modest “reading” requirements –Response questions and polls in Ctools –“Readings” Papers Descriptions of key figures Lectures Project: Rethinking a bit given the reality of the course and semester

9. This year: Trying an experiment with some colleagues across campus Helping me Organize: –Andy Hoffman, Business, Will lecture on Corporate Response Guest Lecturers –MillerScenario Modeling and Analysis –BarteauFuture Energy Systems –RabePolicy –EdwardsPoliticization of Climate Change –UhlmanRegulation and Litigation –ThunDesign as engaging and responding to climate, –LoveUrban water infrastructure and climate change –NortonLocal Urban Planning for Resilience in the Face of Climate Change: Great Lakes Cities –ScaviaApproaches and Challenges to Climate Adaptation – the role of boundary organizations –SkerlosEntrepreneurial Opportunities –TBD

10. General Strategy for Guest Lectures 45 minutes of lecture 20 – 30 minutes of discussion 15 minutes of tying together to the themes in the Strategic Syllabus

11. Let’s see if we will talk Some questions for motivation: –It’s cold today, what does that say about global warming? –When some one asks you about global warming, or you hear about global warming, what is your first reaction? –Do you think that the planet is warming? Is this warming consequential? Is this warming manmade? Can we do something about it? –Are we cooked?

12. End of 2015 1 st Class

13. The motivator: Increase of CO 2 (Keeling et al., 1996)

14. Climate Change Relationships Consumption // Population // Energy CLIMATE CHANGE ENERGY POPULATION CONSUMPTION SOCIETAL SUCCESS

15. Projected Global Temperature Trends IPCC ‘01 2071-2100 temperatures relative to 1961-1990. Special Report on Emissions Scenarios Storyline B2 (middle of the road warming).

16. IPCC 2007: The last ~100 years

17. What parameters/events do we care about? Temperature Water –Precipitation –Evaporation –Humidity Air Composition –Air quality –Aerosols –Carbon dioxide Winds Clouds / Sunlight Droughts Floods Extreme Weather The impact of climate change is Water for Ecosystems Water for People Water for Energy Water for Physical Climate

18. Thanks