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Changing Political Tide Unit 1: History or Memory Lesson 1 Part II Big Idea: Reagan’s rise to the Presidency reflected popularity of conservative beliefs among many Americans.
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Objectives: Distinguish between liberal and conservative viewpoints. Explain how groups w/conservative economic, social, and religious views were able to take over national politics in the 1980s. Determine if Clinton’s election in 1992 really was a liberal backlash or moderate victory. Examine how the political process failed in 2000.
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Warm Up and Review Why was the Conservative Coalition able to win support n the late 70’s? What was their goal?
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Who to Sell? Had the means, but who could represent/ appeal to the varied people? Why Reagan?
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Campaign Promises Lower taxes Increase defense spending Reduce budget deficit Restore values
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1980 Election Reagan (R) defeats Carter (D): 489-49
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1984 Election Reagan (R) defeats Mondale (D): 525-13 http://youtu.be/LoPu1UIBkBc
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1988 Election Bush (R) Defeats Dukakis (D): 426-111 http://youtu.be/DF9gSyku-fc http://youtu.be/Sx5X3Jd8DI4
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1992 Election Bush (R) Clinton (D) Perot (I) Bush (R) Clinton (D) Perot (I) 168 EV 370 EV 0 EV 168 EV 370 EV 0 EV 37% 43% 19% 37% 43% 19% http://youtu.be/vnUv7y4U2T0 http://youtu.be/8inr-D5VzEE
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Evaluate Why was Clinton able to end this reign of conservative rule in 1992?
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1996 Election Clinton (D) defeats Dole (R): 379-159 http://youtu.be/hWib8GbrIlA
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Major Candidates 2000 Election Dem Al Gore Joseph Lieberman Rep George Bush Dick Cheney Reform Pat Buchanan Green Ralph Nader
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What Went Wrong?
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Election Night Issues Projections 246 Bush - 255 Gore 270 needed, 3 states too close… Florida Gov Jeb Bush, Sec of State Katherine Harris Peninsula v Panhandle Recount
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Florida Irregularities Balloting Punch Cards Chads Butterfly Ballots Palm Beach Buchanan Voter Rolls Purging Felons Voter “Black Out” Absentee votes
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Butterfly Ballot
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Bush v Gore 12/12/2000 7-2 End recount Violated equal protection clause 5-4 No new count Not precedent, but present
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2000 Election Results Popular Vote Tied 48% (Gore +544K) Electoral Vote 271-266 4-6 million votes “lost” (6% error rate) Election Reform Help America Vote Act
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Think-Pair-Share In your evaluation, did our Democratic process fail?
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2004 Election Bush (R) defeats Kerry (D): 286-252
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2008 Election 1 st time since 1928 no sitting P or VP running! 58% age 17-29 following races (35% in 2004) Open and competitive primaries “Rock-star” candidates Diverse demographics Compressed primary schedule Dissatisfaction w/ current administration Is extra long campaign good for Amer Democracy?
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2008 Election Obama (D) def McCain (R): 365 - 173
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HW Define key economic terms Highlight goals, actions, and outcomes of the following economic plans: Reaganomics Bush’s No New Taxes Clinton’s Fiscal Discipline GW Bush
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