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Ihsan Ajwad Human Development Sector Europe and Central Asia Region The World Bank Monitoring the Social Impacts of Crises June 11 – MC 4-800 – 9am – 5pm 1
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Micro-simulations of household welfare and HD outcomes using existing household and labor force surveys Labor market monitoring systems (administrative systems and LFS) Social benefits monitoring Rapid response surveys (HD outcomes, coping strategies) 2
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To understand the transmission channels of the crisis labor markets, financial markets, product markets, government services To measure the impact on household welfare and human development outcomes To go beyond administrative data To augment existing surveys To observe the household coping strategy To determine whether formal and informal safety nets are mitigating the impact of the crisis 4
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Household roster Labor Small business module Consumption Coping Savings and credit Safety nets Health Education Dwelling, utilities and durable goods 5
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What is the research question to be answered? Will it serve the crisis related policy agenda? Is there a need for the data? Evaluate all the other data sources (HBS, LFS) – we piggy backed on surveys in Armenia, Kosovo and Serbia Tailor the survey Get buy-in from Government; coordinate with Statistical Office The validity of the results depends on sampling—its best to get a second opinion Use an existing sampling frame (or sample) if possible Don’t underestimate the time and work involved in implementing a household survey 6
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