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The Lancet Commission on Global Surgery Global surgery metrics Russell Gruen MBBS PhD FRACS Professor of Surgery, Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine, Director,

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Presentation on theme: "The Lancet Commission on Global Surgery Global surgery metrics Russell Gruen MBBS PhD FRACS Professor of Surgery, Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine, Director,"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Lancet Commission on Global Surgery Global surgery metrics Russell Gruen MBBS PhD FRACS Professor of Surgery, Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine, Director, Nanyang Institute of Technology in Health and Medicine; Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. Chair, LCoGS Information Management Working Group. The Lancet Commission on Global Surgery

2 Quality Cycle Health & Productivity Surgery & Anaesthesia

3 Quality Cycle Problem Definition Political Economy Health & Productivity Surgery & Anaesthesia Key-stakeholders Decision-makers

4 Universal access to safe, affordable surgical and anesthesia care when needed How can we drive progress? & How will we know if progress is being made?

5 The Lancet Commission on Global Surgery Information Management Working Group Commissioners/Authors: Russell Gruen, Sarah Greenberg, Chris Lavy, Iain Wilson, Richard Sullivan, TB Kamara, Andy Leather, John Meara, Lars Hagander, Steve Bickler, David Watters, Tom Weiser. Collaborators: Ties Boerma, Ed Kelley, Meena Cherian, Melanie Walker, Emmanuel Makasa, Meera Kotagal, Rebecca Maine, John Rose, Joshua Ng-Kamstra, Phil Hider, Leona Wilson, Douglas Stupart, Grant Laing, Damian Clarke, Roshan Aryaratnam, Charlotta Palmqvist, Kathleen O’Neill, Ainhoa Costas.

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7 Focus on health system strengthening: Credible Indicators Time-bound targets Nation-level reporting

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9 1. Surgical metrics are lacking

10 2. Surgical data is not systematically collected Population-based Data – Household surveys – Verbal autopsies Facility-based Data – Infrastructure surveys – Health service activity

11 3. No standard surgical taxonomy exists and existing classifications are of limited usefulness

12 Global Surgery Indicator Framework Preparedness for surgery Delivery of surgery Impact of surgery Whether services are appropriately planned and sufficiently developed Effectiveness of coverage and quality of care being provided Effects on health, well-being, and productivity.

13 13 Core Indicators for Global Surgery

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15 Surgical volume Definition: Procedures done in an operating theatre, per 100,000 population per year Rationale: The number of surgical procedures done per year is an indicator of met need Target: 80% of countries by 2020 and 100% of countries by 2030 tracking surgical volume; 5000 procedures per 100,000 population by 2030

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17 Perioperative Mortality Definition: All-cause death rate before discharge in patients who have had a procedure in an operating theatre, divided by the total number of procedures, presented as a percentage Rationale: Surgical and anaesthesia safety is an integral component of care delivery Perioperative mortality encompasses deaths in the operating theatre and in the hospital after the procedure Procedures chosen as denominator because most feasible Target: 80% of countries by 2020 and 100% of countries by 2030 tracking perioperative mortality; (in 2020 assess global data and set national targets for 2030)

18 POMR (%) reported, by emergency status (Systematic review)

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20 Risk Adjustment of POMR (Systematic review)

21 The Lancet Commission on Global Surgery Port Moresby General Hospital, Papua New Guinea Pietermaritzburg Hospital Complex, South Africa Barwon Health, Geelong, Australia NZ National Minimum Dataset (via NZ POMRC) Four Country POMR Analysis

22 The Lancet Commission on Global Surgery Timecourse of POMR in populations in 4 countries

23 The Lancet Commission on Global Surgery POMR by age & urgency in populations in 4 countries

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27 Ongoing measurement challenges Is risk adjustment for a single national POMR feasible? - age & urgency - a consistent approach to ASA - a taxonomy of procedures that reflects mortality risk How to collect procedure & mortality data? How will this information be used, and are there possible unintended consequences?

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29 Protection against catastrophic expenditure Definition: Proportion of households protected against catastrophic expenditure from direct out-of-pocket payments for surgical and anaesthesia care Rationale: Billions of people each year at risk of financial ruin because they have accessed surgical services; this is a surgery-specific version of a World Bank universal health coverage target Target: 100% protection against catastrophic expenditure from out-of-pocket payments for surgical and anaesthesia care by 2030

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31 31 Core Indicators for Global Surgery

32 32 Access to timely essential surgery Specialist surgical workforce density Surgical volume Postoperativ e mortality Financial protection Core Indicators for Global Surgery

33 The Lancet Commission on Global Surgery Access to timely essential surgery Definition: Percentage of the population that can access, within 2 hours, a facility that can do caesarian section, laparotomy, and treat an open fracture (the Bellwether Procedures) Rationale: All people should have timely access to emergency surgical services; Doing the Bellwether Procedures infers performance of most essential surgical procedures; 2 hours is a threshold of death from complications of childbirth Target: Minimum 80% coverage of essential surgical and anaesthesia services, per country, by 2030

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35 Specialist surgical workforce density Definition: Number of specialist surgical, anaesthetic and obstetric physicians who are working per 100,000 population Rationale: The availability and accessibility of human resources for health is a crucial component of surgical and anaesthetic care delivery. Target: 100% of countries with at least 20 surgical, anaesthetic, and obstetric physicians per 100,000 population by 2030

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