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Systems of Regression Equations Cross-Sectional Time Series of Investment Data Boot, J. and G. deWitt (1960). “Investment Demand: An Empirical Contribution.

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Presentation on theme: "Systems of Regression Equations Cross-Sectional Time Series of Investment Data Boot, J. and G. deWitt (1960). “Investment Demand: An Empirical Contribution."— Presentation transcript:

1 Systems of Regression Equations Cross-Sectional Time Series of Investment Data Boot, J. and G. deWitt (1960). “Investment Demand: An Empirical Contribution to the Aggregation Problem,” International Economic Review, Vol. 1, pp. 3-30

2 Grunfeld’s Investment Data Cross-Section: n=10 Firms (GM, US Steel, GE, Chrysler, Atlantic Refining, IBM, Union Oil, Westinghouse, Goodyear, Diamond Match) Time Series: T=20 years per firm (1935-1954) Dependent Variable:  Gross Investment (Y, in millions of 1947 $) Independent Variables:  Value of Firm (X 1, in millions of 1947 $)  Stock of Plant/Equipment (X 2, in millions of 1947 $)

3 Regression Model

4 Special Cases - I

5 Special Cases - II

6 Equal , Equal  , Independent  ijt

7 Equal , Unequal  , Independent  ijt

8 Equal , Unequal  , Independent  ijt - Iterated (ML)

9 Cross-Sectional Correlation Over Time - I

10 Cross-Sectional Correlation Over Time - II

11 Cross-Sectional Correlation- Iterated EGLS – (ML)

12 Autocorrelated Errors - I

13 Autocorrelated Errors - II

14 Autocorrelated Errors - III

15 Autocorrelated Errors - IV

16 Cross-Sectional and Autocorrelation - I

17 Cross-Sectional and Autocorrelation - II

18 Random Regression Coefficients - I

19 Random Regression Coefficients - II

20 Random Regression Coefficients - III

21 Firm Results - I Note: Gamma estimate does not Subtract off the average of the V matrices (not positive definite)

22 Firm Results - II

23 RCR – Best Linear Unbiased Predictors

24 Firm Results – BLUP’s

25 Test for Equal  s ( 

26 Seemingly Unrelated Regressions (SUR)

27 Firm Example - I

28 Firm Example - II Estimated GLS ML (Iterated GLS)


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