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SPC Discussion Items Watch Probabilities Experiment Enhanced Thunder Experiment Status report by counties Graphical Day 4-8 Convective Outlook Graphical.

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Presentation on theme: "SPC Discussion Items Watch Probabilities Experiment Enhanced Thunder Experiment Status report by counties Graphical Day 4-8 Convective Outlook Graphical."— Presentation transcript:

1 SPC Discussion Items Watch Probabilities Experiment Enhanced Thunder Experiment Status report by counties Graphical Day 4-8 Convective Outlook Graphical Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 Probability of Type and Intensity of Weather within a Watch

3 SPC General thunder Forecast 1300UTC 18 May – 1200Z 19 May

4 Enhanced General Thunder 1300UTC 18 May – 0000Z 19 May

5 Enhanced General Thunder 0000UTC 19 May – 1200Z 19 May

6 WOUS20 KWNS 080736 WWASPC SPC WW-A 080740 MNZ000-SDZ000-WIZ000-LSZ000-080840- STATUS REPORT ON WW 407 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE BKX TO 30 NE AXN TO 10 NNW ELO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1138 ISSUED AT 0709 UTC...JPR..06/08/04 ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR... && SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS: ---MORE TEXT--- Status report by counties

7 ---PREVIOUS TEXT--- && SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS: MNC001-009-017-023-025-031-035-059-065-067-075-085- 093-095-097- 115-129-137-141-145-171-080840- MN. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AITKIN BENTON CARLTON CHIPPEWA CHISAGO COOK CROW WING ISANTI KANABEC KANDIYOHI LAKE MCLEOD MEEKER MILLE LACS MORRISON PINE RENVILLE ST. LOUIS SHERBURNE STEARNS WRIGHT $$ ---NEXT STATE---

8 ---PREVIOUS TEXT--- && STATUS REPORT ON WS 407 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS: MNC001-009-017-023-025-031-035-059-065-067-075-085- 093-095-097- 115-129-137-141-145-171-080840- MN. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AITKIN BENTON CARLTON CHIPPEWA CHISAGO COOK CROW WING ISANTI KANABEC KANDIYOHI LAKE MCLEOD MEEKER MILLE LACS MORRISON PINE RENVILLE ST. LOUIS SHERBURNE STEARNS WRIGHT $$ ---NEXT STATE--- Requested Enhancement – Indicate Watch Type

9 Extended Convective Outlooks – Days 4 through 8 & Extended Fire Weather Outlooks – Days 3 through 8

10 Please send any additional thoughts to: joseph.schaefer@noaa.gov


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