1. Forest Management and Water – A Risk Based Approach

2. We’re not in Kansas anymore Toto There are natural hazards and elements at risk on the landscape. Land use activity can affect hazards and hazard levels. We need to understand each situation to make informed decisions.

3. What do we do? Think about water across the province, TSA, or operating area using a two-step risk-based approach. Risk in simple terms is: – The likelihood of something bad happening to something you’re worried about….or should be worried about.

4. The steps – Step 1 – in house review of potential risk associated with existing or planned activities based on known information and experience. – Step 2 – more detailed assessment and planning where there is: a suspected land use contribution to current risk levels, – legacy items like old roads an incremental effect is expected as a result of planned activities, or confidence is low.

5. Key questions in a risk-based approach 1.What elements are at risk on the landscape and where are they? 2.What can affect them from a hydrogeomorphic or natural hazard perspective. 3.What are the watershed controls or triggers associated with those hazards. 4.What effect has land-use activity had on those triggers and will future land-use activity affect that situation? 5.What can we do about it?

6. Case study – East Lake

8. Start here

9. Find the elements at risk

10. Identify natural hazards and vulnerability

11. Understand the triggers

12. Plan and manage