1. Pupil Schools Provision Programme 2013-18 Presentation to Children’s Services Scrutiny Committee 11 July 2012 Slide 1

2. Office of National Statistics Data Salford Population Change Slide 2

3. The Office of National Statistics data ONS indicates an overall 58000 population growth for Salford 2010 – 2030 ONS predictions are based on birth and death data plus migration trends ONS methodology for predicting migration trends has improved to ensure greater reliability The growth mirrors national trends, Salford has the second highest growth predicted for Greater Manchester Comparison between 2008 predictions and 2010 predictions show a significant increase ONS population data prediction now correlates with primary school roll numbers and trends Slide 3

4. Comparison with AGMA Table 7: Projected Total Population Change, Greater Manchester Districts. Area Projected Total Population Cumulative Change (Number of people)Cumulative Change (Percent) 20102015202020302010-152010-202010-302010-152010-202010-30 Bolton2702822943151224454.49.016.7 Bury185193201215816304.18.516.3 Manchester47050753558337651137.813.823.9 Oldham221227234246713252.96.111.3 Rochdale206210215224510192.24.89.1 Salford2302462622881631587.013.625.1 Stockport285293302320817352.76.012.3 Tameside218226235251817333.98.015.3 Trafford2172282402611123444.910.620.4 Wigan3103203313491121393.46.912.5 Greater Manchester2,6112,7322,8503,0521212394414.69.116.9 Source: ONS 2010 based sub national population projections. Slide 4

5. Graphs of Salford pupil trends since 1981 and our prediction to 2018 Pupil Numbers Schools Capacity Slide 6

6. 500 additional places were created for September 2011, 700 additional places are being created for September 2012 in 23 schools This has been achieved in the majority of cases through the utilisation of existing school spaces i.e. converting non classroom space into classrooms However, we are installing temporary classrooms on 5 schools this year, only 1needed in 2011 Started to identify the options for the expansion of schools and held a seminar for head teachers and chairs of governors to put forward their proposals. Working closely with neighbouring LAs is maintained to ensure cross boundary pressures are acknowledged Continuing to work closely with the dioceses and schools through the Stakeholder Steering Group to ensure good communication and wider ownership of the challenge. What are we doing Slide 8

7. Proposed Programme Governance Structure Cabinet Mayoral Working Party Estates Board Children’s Services Leadership Team Stakeholder Steering Group Slide 10

8. Options for Expansion Bring back all available classroom space in schools for school use Expand existing schools with extensions Re-commission disused schools including those vacated through BSF programme Thru-schools in Secondary Buildings – until we need secondary places Acquire adjacent buildings to schools and create Key Stage on adjoining site Acquire other existing LA buildings for School use Use all LA owned brownfield sites to build new schools Slide 12

9. Map of the new 12 planning areas against the ward boundaries Slide 15