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U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook December 2010 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council
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Macroeconomic Environment
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U.S. Real GDP Growth
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U.S. Crude Oil Spot Price
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U.S. #2 Diesel, Gulf Coast
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Civilian Unemployment Rate
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U.S. Federal Budget Surplus (CBO Projection)
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CBO Ag Baseline Spending
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Real GDP Growth in Selected Countries
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Euro (Currency per U.S. Dollar)
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Real Exchange Rate Index (Other Important Trade Partners, Source – Federal Reserve )
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Ag Prices Received Index
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U.S. Net Farm Income
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U.S. Cotton Supply
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December Cotton Futures Cents per Pound
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December Corn Futures Cents per Bushel
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November Soybean Futures Cents per Bushel
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Southeast1,891 2,602 37.6 Mid-South 1,627 1,930 18.6 Southwest5,243 5,931 13.1 West247 366 48.1 ALL UPLAND 9,008 10,829 20.2 ALL ELS141 209 47.8 ALL COTTON9,150 11,038 20.6 Southeast1,891 2,602 37.6 Mid-South 1,627 1,930 18.6 Southwest5,243 5,931 13.1 West247 366 48.1 ALL UPLAND 9,008 10,829 20.2 ALL ELS141 209 47.8 ALL COTTON9,150 11,038 20.6 2010 U.S. Cotton Plantings 20092010% Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change 20092010% Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change Thousand Acres *USDA June Acreage Report - Revised *USDA June Acreage Report - Revised
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Southeast765 1,053 37.6 Mid-South 658 781 18.6 Southwest2,122 2,400 13.1 West100 148 48.1 ALL UPLAND 3,645 4,382 20.2 ALL ELS57 85 47.8 ALL COTTON3,703 4,467 20.6 Southeast765 1,053 37.6 Mid-South 658 781 18.6 Southwest2,122 2,400 13.1 West100 148 48.1 ALL UPLAND 3,645 4,382 20.2 ALL ELS57 85 47.8 ALL COTTON3,703 4,467 20.6 2010 U.S. Cotton Plantings 20092010% Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change 20092010% Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change Thousand Hectares *USDA June Acreage Report - Revised
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U.S. Cotton Production
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U.S. Cotton Supply
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U.S. Cotton Demand
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Net Domestic Fiber Consumption
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Cotton’s Share of Fiber Consumption
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U.S. Cotton Retail Consumption 2009 2010
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Components of Retail Cotton Consumption
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U.S. Cotton Textile Imports
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U.S. Cotton Content in Textile Imports
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U.S. Trade With Mexico
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U.S. Trade with CBI
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U.S. Imports from China
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U.S. Cotton Mill Use (Calendar Year, Million Bales)
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U.S. Cotton Mill Use 2010 2009
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U.S. Cotton Mill Use (Crop Year, Million Bales)
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U.S. Cotton Production & Use
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The World Market & U.S. Cotton Exports
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China Cotton Supply & Use
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World Cotton Production
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World Fiber Mill Use *PCI
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Fiber Prices
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World Cotton Mill Use
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Foreign Cotton Production & Use
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U.S. Cotton Exports
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World Cotton Ending Stocks
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Cotton Stocks/Use (World less China)
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U.S. Supply and Demand Million Bales Beginning Stocks6.342.95 Production12.1918.27 Imports0.000.01 Total Supply18.5321.22 Mill Use3.463.55 Exports12.0415.75 Total Offtake15.5019.30 Ending Stocks2.951.90 Stocks-to-Use Ratio19.0%9.8% 2009/10e2010/11p
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U.S. Supply and Demand Million Metric Tons Beginning Stocks1.380.64 Production2.663.98 Imports0.000.00 Total Supply4.044.62 Mill Use0.750.77 Exports2.623.43 Total Offtake3.384.20 Ending Stocks0.640.41 Stocks-to-Use Ratio19.0%9.8% 2009/10e2010/11p
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Beginning Stocks60.5244.00 Production101.54115.53 Imports35.8938.66 Mill Use118.38116.25 Exports35.6038.68 Ending Stocks44.0043.39 Stocks-to-Use Ratio37.2%37.3% Beginning Stocks60.5244.00 Production101.54115.53 Imports35.8938.66 Mill Use118.38116.25 Exports35.6038.68 Ending Stocks44.0043.39 Stocks-to-Use Ratio37.2%37.3% World Supply and Demand Million Bales 2009/10e2010/11p
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Beginning Stocks13.199.59 Production22.1225.17 Imports7.828.42 Mill Use25.7925.33 Exports7.768.43 Ending Stocks9.599.45 Stocks-to-Use Ratio37.2%37.3% Beginning Stocks13.199.59 Production22.1225.17 Imports7.828.42 Mill Use25.7925.33 Exports7.768.43 Ending Stocks9.599.45 Stocks-to-Use Ratio37.2%37.3% World Supply and Demand Million Metric Tons 2009/10e2010/11p
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Merchants Ginners Cottonseed Producers Cooperatives Warehouses Manufacturers
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