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CHINA MACRO OUTLOOK DRY BULK DIVERGENCE & CAPESIZE COMEBACK www.commodore-research.com.

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Presentation on theme: "CHINA MACRO OUTLOOK DRY BULK DIVERGENCE & CAPESIZE COMEBACK www.commodore-research.com."— Presentation transcript:

1 CHINA MACRO OUTLOOK DRY BULK DIVERGENCE & CAPESIZE COMEBACK www.commodore-research.com

2 -Chinese Steel Production -Emergence of China’s Middle Class -Geographical Development Trends -Decline in Capesize Deliveries -Increase in Panamax Deliveries Major Topics

3 -Established March 2010 -Focus on Dry Bulk Market -China National Shipping Service -Dry Bulk Report Subscription -Various Consulting Services About Commodore

4 Chinese Steel Production

5 Chinese Steel Production (March 2009 - March 2013) Chinese Steel Production www.commodore-research.com

6 Geographical Development www.commodore-research.com Developed East Emerging Central Revitalized Northeast Western Development

7 True Story

8 Geographical Development www.commodore-research.com Developed East Emerging Central Revitalized Northeast Western Development

9 Chinese Iron Ore Production & Imports

10 Chinese Iron Ore Production (March 2009 - March 2013) Chinese Iron Ore Production www.commodore-research.com

11 Chinese Iron Ore Imports www.commodore-research.com Chinese Iron Ore Imports (April 2009 - April 2013)

12 Capesize Comeback

13 www.commodore-research.com CAPEDeliveriesScrappingNet Addition Jan’1230228 Feb’1218612 Mar’1217611 Apr’12271017 May’12221210 Jun’1230822 Jul’1220614 Aug’12880 Sep’1216106 Oct’121064 Nov’12761 Dec’12505

14 Average Daily Capesize Rates (February 2012 - May 2013) Capesize Rates www.commodore-research.com

15 Capesize Easing Has Begun YearHandysizeHandymaxPanamaxCapesize 2009160185110115 2010228292172214 2011290326274259 2012289303370210 2013 (p)240 375100 Deliveries (2009 – 2012); Commodore Projection (2013) www.commodore-research.com

16 Outlook -Improvement in Capesize Rates in H2 -Decline in Panamax Rates in H2 -Continued Growth of the Middle Class -Ongoing Development of Western China www.commodore-research.com -Robust Demand for Iron Ore Imports

17 Thank You www.commodore-research.com Phone: +1-917-647-8949 Trial Subscriptions


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