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Published byAlban Horton Modified over 9 years ago
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CHINA MACRO OUTLOOK DRY BULK DIVERGENCE & CAPESIZE COMEBACK www.commodore-research.com
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-Chinese Steel Production -Emergence of China’s Middle Class -Geographical Development Trends -Decline in Capesize Deliveries -Increase in Panamax Deliveries Major Topics
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-Established March 2010 -Focus on Dry Bulk Market -China National Shipping Service -Dry Bulk Report Subscription -Various Consulting Services About Commodore
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Chinese Steel Production
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Chinese Steel Production (March 2009 - March 2013) Chinese Steel Production www.commodore-research.com
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Geographical Development www.commodore-research.com Developed East Emerging Central Revitalized Northeast Western Development
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True Story
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Geographical Development www.commodore-research.com Developed East Emerging Central Revitalized Northeast Western Development
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Chinese Iron Ore Production & Imports
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Chinese Iron Ore Production (March 2009 - March 2013) Chinese Iron Ore Production www.commodore-research.com
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Chinese Iron Ore Imports www.commodore-research.com Chinese Iron Ore Imports (April 2009 - April 2013)
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Capesize Comeback
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www.commodore-research.com CAPEDeliveriesScrappingNet Addition Jan’1230228 Feb’1218612 Mar’1217611 Apr’12271017 May’12221210 Jun’1230822 Jul’1220614 Aug’12880 Sep’1216106 Oct’121064 Nov’12761 Dec’12505
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Average Daily Capesize Rates (February 2012 - May 2013) Capesize Rates www.commodore-research.com
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Capesize Easing Has Begun YearHandysizeHandymaxPanamaxCapesize 2009160185110115 2010228292172214 2011290326274259 2012289303370210 2013 (p)240 375100 Deliveries (2009 – 2012); Commodore Projection (2013) www.commodore-research.com
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Outlook -Improvement in Capesize Rates in H2 -Decline in Panamax Rates in H2 -Continued Growth of the Middle Class -Ongoing Development of Western China www.commodore-research.com -Robust Demand for Iron Ore Imports
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Thank You www.commodore-research.com Phone: +1-917-647-8949 Trial Subscriptions
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