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Published byBritton Fox Modified over 9 years ago
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The Energy Future We Could Create The Sun is Amazing Workshop June, 2012
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What is the goal? Environmental stability? Enough to meet needs? Fairness in life chances? Less about stuff, more about community, family?
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Five Elements: 1. Efficiency: low power, high performance appliances 2. Low Power high efficiency buildings 3. Green Energy 4. Smart Use: Matching consumption with power production (e.g. electric cars with night wind) 5. Sparing use of fossil fuels at transitional fuel and…
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Innovation
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Let’s consider examples of what we know works Starting point: The Art of the Possible
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Example: Arthur Rosenfeld The Principle: Conserving Energy is simpler and cheaper than building more power plants. Efficiency measures save Californians $30B/ year. Air pollution Avoided: 100 million cars equivalent
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“Rosenfeld Effect” 20 power plants not built
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Alliance to Save Energy Energy Efficiency Movement saves Americans $700 Billion per year in energy bills [ck]
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Low hanging Fruit: Cool Roofs: reflective colors Chicago to Sydney latitudes equivalent to taking ½ the worlds cars off the road; a 20 year reprieve on global warming – Art Rosenfeld.
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Conservation and Efficiency: McKinsey Report (2009) $520 B investment- 1.2 Trillion saving (100% ROI) 23% reduction in U.S. Energy Consumption
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McKinsey analysis
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Political Will When government sets standards and means it, engineers figure out how to do it
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2008: Governor Schwarzenegger issues Executive Order S-14-08 requiring 33% renewables by 2020. 2011: Senate Bill X1-2, signed by Gov. Edmund G. Brown, Jr., codifies 33% by 2020 RPS. California Leads Renewable Portfolio Standard: 33% by 2020 ISO and Utilities have to figure it out
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ISO demonstrates effect of political mandates: Mandate challenges solutions.
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Not bad: 1% or less margin
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When California leads….
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When California forces manufacturers to build more efficient appliance…. e.g. refrigerator, it changes nation because manufacturers don’t want to build two different products
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And US Solar market grew 109% last year (2011)
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And industry incentivized to improve Technology E.G. market for battery technology Prototypes with 10x greater energy density
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Global element of improving energy future: Help Developing World Leap Frog Fossil Fuel Step E.g. wireless communications and electricity
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Renewable Resource is Huge
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Solar Resource 10,000 x more energy then humans use (Art Sussman)
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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States. (2009) Wind Power Resource: 16 X Current Consumption
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Wind Resource in the United States ( as percentage of in-state generation ) Dakotas and Nebraska are the “Saudi Arabia” of Wind Power
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People need jobs: let’s get it done
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Depression Era Project
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